inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 105 Excitement5.7 [526] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +17.2%
Indiana Pacers 93 Comeback2.4 [546] LVPLeandro Barbosa (IND): -10.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.170,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.170.190.010.032571%0.325-0.15887%0.01
Mario Chalmers0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.100.060.01775%0.1500.00667%-0.02
Mike Miller0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.080.020.00875%0.131-0.0400%0.00
Joel Anthony0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.060.00371%0.111-0.031100%0.01
James Jones0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
LeBron James0.020,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.020.070.020.062355%0.051-0.02580%0.01
Norris Cole0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.04-0.01-0.0410%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Juwan Howard0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ronny Turiaf-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Shane Battier-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.03-0.00714%-0.1000.0000%0.00

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David West0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.08-0.010.001663%0.153-0.08667%-0.02
Dahntay Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.000100%0.041-0.023100%0.01
Paul George0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.02-0.021055%0.103-0.0800%0.00
Lou Amundson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Darren Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01362%0.072-0.072100%0.01
George Hill0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.06-0.030.051358%0.021-0.04560%-0.03
Roy Hibbert0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.040.00867%0.054-0.112100%0.01
Tyler Hansbrough0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00425%-0.041-0.02475%0.00
Danny Granger0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.01-0.070.021450%-0.042-0.052100%0.01
Leandro Barbosa0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.03-0.0010%-0.033-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.33.433.517.629.13.737.2152.8
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +41.7%
IND -7.6%
IND -21.0%
MIA +30.7%
MIA +6.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIAINDNBAMIAINDNBA
this game16.516.415.6119.3106.9102.8
season15.515.7105.6104.2
opponent15.615.8101.198.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.613.316.419.616.5
IND15.116.216.318.316.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James83820.51-0.010.530.0416-42016.319.6-3.2616.514.61.90
Norris Cole21180.460.040.430.141111011.618.1-6.5016.716.30.42
Mike Miller43420.380.120.260.1293615.417.6-2.2016.416.4-0.07
Joel Anthony61600.340.160.180.1666016.915.71.1816.416.30.14
James Jones10110.240.26-0.010.1348-412.317.1-4.7616.216.4-0.24
Juwan Howard990.230.27-0.04-0.0493610.017.3-7.2715.816.5-0.68
Mario Chalmers53570.200.30-0.10-0.0793617.714.82.9116.116.9-0.78
Dwyane Wade71690.170.33-0.160.0648-417.114.22.8416.615.41.19
Shane Battier70680.030.47-0.450.11-315-1818.010.77.3616.416.5-0.17
Ronny Turiaf1919-0.070.57-0.640.08-517-2218.715.92.7616.016.5-0.50

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danny Granger67690.05-0.550.60-0.157-192616.316.8-0.5317.612.65.03
Roy Hibbert69710.03-0.530.57-0.3513-253816.615.61.0517.910.96.92
George Hill61630.01-0.510.53-0.166-182416.416.40.0118.312.16.15
Lou Amundson79-0.15-0.350.190.05-7-5-217.616.31.288.617.4-8.87
Dahntay Jones910-0.23-0.270.040.06-10-2-817.316.31.0510.517.3-6.79
David West7374-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.18-5-7216.117.7-1.5817.511.55.97
Leandro Barbosa1717-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.02-120-1214.616.8-2.2413.317.3-4.00
Paul George7877-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.17-8-4-416.614.81.8017.013.23.82
Tyler Hansbrough2119-0.500.00-0.510.05-197-2616.816.30.5510.918.1-7.11
Darren Collison3331-0.600.10-0.700.14-2513-3816.516.40.1013.518.2-4.69


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.27,0.23,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
TOR 125, NOP 1160.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.42,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,092.9%
NOK 95, MEM 860.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.06,0.12,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,092.7%
CLE 97, ATL 890.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.41,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,092.6%