inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Dallas Mavericks 112 Excitement8.2 [209] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +44.5%
Oklahoma City Thunder 105 Comeback237.1 [4] LVPKevin Durant (OKC): -37.7%


Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0.450,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.4,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.450.200.280.032073%0.524-0.071593%0.20
Jason Kidd0.240,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.240.070.200.04977%0.313-0.084100%0.00
Brendan Haywood0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.01275%0.0600.00862%-0.03
Tyson Chandler0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.02-0.01456%0.0500.001100%0.01
Jose Juan Barea-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.01-0.011033%-0.0100.001100%0.01
Shawn Marion-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.000.02544%-0.0200.00683%-0.03
DeShawn Stevenson-0.070,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.020.00530%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jason Terry-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.14-0.04-0.12-0.021948%-0.073-0.074100%0.03
Peja Stojakovic-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.050.01729%-0.092-0.0500%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Serge Ibaka0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.120.12-0.020.10-0.041556%0.204-0.072100%0.01
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.01775%0.101-0.042100%0.02
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.011060%0.0600.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00555%0.051-0.0310%-0.02
Daequan Cook00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.02558%0.054-0.09250%-0.01
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32-0.32-0.20-0.19-0.072237%-0.146-0.17862%-0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.37,-0.38-0.38-0.10-0.29-0.012254%0.039-0.411090%0.06
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game31.22.733.218.831.13.542.31.717.2181.5
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.91.916.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +2.6%
DAL +33.5%
OKC -30.1%
DAL +57.1%
OKC -13.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDALOKCNBADALOKCNBA
this game14.415.615.5105.799.1105.7
season15.715.0108.5108.8
opponent15.615.7105.4103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DAL14.413.816.312.117.614.4
OKC14.415.615.717.214.215.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Terry83830.70-0.200.910.1519-123114.215.2-0.9815.615.50.09
Tyson Chandler71710.69-0.190.890.4010-31314.314.7-0.4615.316.2-0.90
Jason Kidd83830.64-0.140.780.408-1914.314.7-0.3115.316.5-1.18
Dirk Nowitzki89890.60-0.100.710.349-21114.513.80.7615.913.91.97
Shawn Marion80810.57-0.070.640.3670713.517.2-3.6415.815.00.73
DeShawn Stevenson2525-0.160.66-0.810.14-1017-2714.714.30.3615.615.6-0.04
Peja Stojakovic3231-0.160.66-0.82-0.2225-315.414.01.4315.015.8-0.84
Brendan Haywood3535-0.180.68-0.86-0.09-310-1314.714.30.4616.215.30.90
Jose Juan Barea3232-0.210.71-0.93-0.01-714-2115.813.82.0215.515.6-0.14

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Harden47460.30-0.801.100.184-111515.016.1-1.0314.214.6-0.41
Kendrick Perkins50510.24-0.740.97-0.039-162515.515.7-0.2214.814.10.69
Eric Maynor23230.09-0.590.680.15-2-5315.715.60.1813.314.7-1.46
Daequan Cook10120.03-0.530.560.09-2-5316.515.51.0013.914.5-0.55
Kevin Durant9999-0.510.01-0.51-0.33-6-1-515.517.6-2.1214.217.7-3.54
Russell Westbrook8484-0.590.09-0.68-0.44-5-2-315.516.1-0.6814.513.90.68
Nick Collison6158-0.630.13-0.75-0.21-147-2116.015.10.8414.814.00.82
Serge Ibaka9696-0.680.18-0.86-0.39-103-1315.615.30.3314.612.81.77
Thabo Sefolosha6061-0.760.26-1.01-0.49-92-1115.915.10.8214.414.4-0.07


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.66,0.7,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.92,0.97,1,1,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.41,0
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 103, WAS 990.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.61,0.74,0.71,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.79,0.91,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.26,091.2%
SAC 118, NYK 1140.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.85,0.93,0.96,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.08,090.2%
MIA 106, CHA 1050.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.83,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.43,0.42,090.1%