NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	92		Excitement	7.1 [411]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +46.5%
Dallas Mavericks	98		Comeback	8.3 [183]		LVP	Shawn Marion (DAL): -15.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bynum	0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.04	0.04	-0.02	16	60%	0.20	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Shannon Brown	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	-0.00	8	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	16	51%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Steve Blake	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	0.00	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.00	0.06	0.01	8	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	13	41%	0.05	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.06	-0.03	16	52%	0.09	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.38,0.38,0.47	0.47	0.19	0.29	0.02	10	82%	0.47	0	0.00	8	87%	0.04
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.17	0.18	0.02	19	76%	0.47	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.05
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.14	-0.00	11	62%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	1	89%	0.11	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	12	39%	-0.03	4	-0.10	4	75%	0.03
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	3.6	31.7	18.8	28.2	2.6	38.3	152.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +22.1%

DAL +24.6%

DAL +10.9%

LAL -4.2%

LAL -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	18.3	15.4	15.5	108.2	114.0	105.7
season	15.9	15.7		108.8	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		103.8	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.0	18.8	18.7	17.8	18.3
DAL	14.7	16.4	15.6	14.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	21	21	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.13	4	-10	14	16.8	18.8	-2.05	14.0	15.9	-1.91
Steve Blake	24	27	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.13	-2	-4	2	19.6	17.8	1.78	15.4	15.4	-0.04
Shannon Brown	33	36	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-5	4	18.8	18.0	0.89	13.6	16.7	-3.07
Joe Smith	6	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-3	0	20.5	18.1	2.36	14.8	15.4	-0.60
Lamar Odom	76	76	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.41	0	-6	6	17.7	23.0	-5.25	15.5	14.7	0.79
Derek Fisher	64	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.37	-6	0	-6	17.9	19.4	-1.49	15.0	16.4	-1.42
Kobe Bryant	65	66	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.42	-6	0	-6	18.6	17.5	1.05	16.1	13.1	2.99
Pau Gasol	71	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.41	-7	1	-8	18.4	18.0	0.37	15.4	15.4	-0.01
Andrew Bynum	65	64	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.37	-9	3	-12	18.6	17.5	1.05	16.5	12.2	4.26

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Terry	65	66	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.31	13	-7	20	14.5	18.3	-3.82	18.3	18.4	-0.08
Tyson Chandler	58	58	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.34	9	-3	12	16.1	14.0	2.02	17.8	19.3	-1.45
Dirk Nowitzki	74	73	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.33	9	-3	12	15.4	15.7	-0.32	18.7	15.7	3.07
Peja Stojakovic	42	41	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-2	10	15.6	15.2	0.39	18.2	18.4	-0.21
Jason Kidd	65	63	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.44	4	2	2	15.2	15.9	-0.61	17.5	20.5	-3.02
Brendan Haywood	25	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	8	-10	14.8	15.6	-0.84	20.1	17.6	2.51
Corey Brewer	2	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	7	-8	12.0	15.5	-3.48	26.0	18.2	7.79
Jose Juan Barea	23	23	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.07	1	5	-4	17.2	14.7	2.43	20.0	17.7	2.38
Shawn Marion	55	55	-0.14	0.65	-0.79	-0.12	-1	7	-8	14.8	16.4	-1.55	17.4	20.0	-2.62
DeShawn Stevenson	21	20	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.02	-10	16	-26	17.2	14.8	2.44	18.7	18.2	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.37,0.68,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 105, CHI 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.48,0.59,0.44,0.6,0.52,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.37,0.67,0.91,1	92.0%
MIN 98, NOH 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.1,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.31,0.28,0.57,0.85,1	91.3%
NOP 109, NYK 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.55,0.84,1	91.2%