NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	109		Excitement	9.4 [138]		MVP	Allonzo Trier (NYK): +37.0%
New York Knicks	114		Comeback	10.6 [76]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -43.9%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24	0.21	0.05	0.02	19	69%	0.27	1	-0.03	10	80%	0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07	0.03	0.06	0.01	14	54%	0.12	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
Frank Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.06	-0.01	15	38%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Ian Clark	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cheick Diallo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
E'Twaun Moore	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.19	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	7	21%	-0.10	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.44	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.43,-0.44	-0.14	-0.31	-0.01	25	41%	-0.17	5	-0.27	4	50%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allonzo Trier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.38,0.38,0.37	0.37	0.21	0.18	0.01	12	83%	0.37	0	0.00	6	67%	0.02
Emmanuel Mudiay	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	20	57%	0.17	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.07
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Knox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	6	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	12	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.03	0.02	10	70%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Mario Hezonja	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19	-0.19	-0.13	-0.01	0.05	15	22%	-0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	29.4	14.4	29.5	2.2	39.5	142.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +33.0%

NYK +9.2%

NYK +2.6%

NYK +7.7%

NOP -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	NYK	NBA	NOP	NYK	NBA
this game	13.6	14.5	14.3	104.8	112.9	109.3
season	13.4	14.5		110.2	103.8
opponent	14.1	14.2		112.5	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	11.6	14.9	13.4	14.4	13.6
NYK	15.6	14.5	15.3	12.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Clark	35	36	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.21	4	-9	13	13.7	13.5	0.18	14.3	14.7	-0.37
Cheick Diallo	11	12	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.13	1	-6	7	14.4	13.5	0.89	14.6	14.5	0.04
Julius Randle	59	59	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.13	-3	-2	-1	14.5	12.4	2.06	14.2	15.0	-0.86
Frank Jackson	22	25	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-3	1	13.9	13.5	0.38	14.2	14.7	-0.51
Darius Miller	54	51	-0.15	-0.34	0.19	-0.21	2	-7	9	14.0	13.1	0.98	13.9	15.2	-1.26
Wesley Johnson	53	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-2	-1	13.0	14.2	-1.16	15.1	14.0	1.10
Nikola Mirotic	65	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.45	1	-6	7	13.0	14.6	-1.59	14.8	14.2	0.60
Jrue Holiday	81	77	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.38	-12	7	-19	13.7	13.2	0.45	14.5	14.7	-0.27
Anthony Davis	71	67	-0.75	0.25	-0.99	-0.57	-6	1	-7	13.5	13.7	-0.15	14.6	14.4	0.29
E'Twaun Moore	69	64	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.54	-7	2	-9	13.1	14.5	-1.43	15.0	13.8	1.16

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noah Vonleh	76	80	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.41	18	-13	31	15.1	12.9	2.21	13.4	14.2	-0.89
Allonzo Trier	72	74	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.32	13	-8	21	13.7	16.7	-3.01	14.4	11.6	2.72
Emmanuel Mudiay	60	65	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.50	5	0	5	14.1	15.2	-1.10	13.5	13.7	-0.28
Enes Kanter	71	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	6	-7	14.5	14.5	0.02	14.0	12.6	1.37
Tim Hardaway Jr.	76	80	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.44	-1	6	-7	14.4	15.0	-0.55	13.4	14.2	-0.89
Frank Ntilikina	29	32	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.10	6	-1	7	15.2	14.3	0.88	13.0	13.8	-0.86
Mario Hezonja	40	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	8	-11	15.9	13.6	2.29	13.1	13.9	-0.83
Trey Burke	41	39	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.15	0	5	-5	15.2	14.1	1.10	13.7	13.5	0.28
Mitchell Robinson	20	20	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.07	-3	8	-11	12.9	15.0	-2.05	14.0	13.5	0.54
Kevin Knox	20	21	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.14	-9	14	-23	14.0	14.7	-0.62	12.3	13.9	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.22,0.55,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 105, CHI 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.48,0.59,0.44,0.6,0.52,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.37,0.67,0.91,1	91.4%
LAL 92, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.37,0.68,0.85,1	91.2%
MIN 81, VAN 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.51,0.32,0.26,0.46,0.28,0.1,0.28,0.41,0.91,1	90.5%