inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 133 Excitement14.9 [3] MVPJames Harden (OKC): +33.6%
Memphis Grizzlies 123 Comeback6.1 [141] LVPZach Randolph (MEM): -55.5%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Harden0.340,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.340.070.280.011159%0.421-0.0910100%0.10
Russell Westbrook0.160,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.22,0.15,0.05,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.160.070.110.023352%0.293-0.121191%0.09
Nazr Mohammed0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.050.10-0.00470%0.1500.00250%-0.02
Serge Ibaka0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.080.010.070.01558%0.091-0.01250%-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04-0.010.01-0.04350%0.0210.012100%0.01
Eric Maynor0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.030.06-0.01437%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.03-0.02257%0.053-0.0430%-0.10
Nick Collison0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00450%0.0100.0000%0.00
Daequan Cook-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.02-0.050.03950%-0.042-0.062100%0.00
Kevin Durant-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.16,-0.16,-0.130.06-0.170.022060%0.175-0.301889%0.09

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Greivis Vasquez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.14,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.29,0.290.290.030.25-0.011248%0.2900.005100%0.05
O.J. Mayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.110.02-0.001464%0.1300.0000%0.00
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.08-0.040.11-0.011244%0.132-0.061292%0.07
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.020.01654%0.0000.001100%0.00
Hamed Haddadi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.0220%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.01617%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Sam Young0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.0140%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Marc Gasol0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.09-0.012058%0.136-0.21580%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34-0.34-0.13-0.22-0.021030%-0.164-0.1800%0.00
Zach Randolph0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.53,-0.53,-0.47,-0.47,-0.54,-0.56-0.56-0.04-0.510.012551%-0.355-0.211794%0.15
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2 OT3Total
this game31.73.339.618.730.82.841.12.823.82.417.42.515.2232.1
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.91.916.91.916.91.916.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +108.3%
OKC +9.4%
MEM -40.6%
OKC +1.5%
MEM -28.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMEMNBAOKCMEMNBA
this game15.416.615.5112.7104.2105.7
season15.015.5108.8106.1
opponent15.515.6103.7105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
OKC15.013.914.519.914.615.4
MEM15.616.819.116.115.916.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nick Collison65671.46-0.962.410.8421-113214.616.4-1.7317.315.81.52
Kevin Durant1071070.57-0.070.650.1315-52015.316.5-1.1616.517.5-0.91
James Harden92930.52-0.020.540.0217-72415.016.7-1.6516.517.2-0.78
Russell Westbrook95950.390.110.270.0312-21416.012.93.1516.417.5-1.11
Nazr Mohammed39360.320.180.150.32010-1016.115.11.0416.416.7-0.34
Daequan Cook46440.320.180.140.031001016.015.01.0116.216.9-0.75
Serge Ibaka31330.140.36-0.220.23-313-1616.315.11.2016.216.8-0.53
Eric Maynor2323-0.000.50-0.510.06-212-1412.916.0-3.1517.516.41.11
Kendrick Perkins6164-0.340.84-1.17-0.07-919-2815.914.91.0617.216.01.19
Thabo Sefolosha3128-0.881.38-2.26-0.56-1121-3214.815.6-0.8116.216.8-0.59

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shane Battier60610.43-0.931.36-0.0115-254016.416.8-0.3616.514.22.25
Sam Young32340.41-0.911.320.381-111214.717.3-2.5814.415.8-1.40
Hamed Haddadi870.12-0.620.74-0.097-172411.417.0-5.6313.915.5-1.65
Ish Smith22-0.09-0.410.32-0.03-2-8621.516.54.962.015.6-13.64
O.J. Mayo6966-0.15-0.350.21-0.12-1-9817.215.81.4215.914.81.07
Mike Conley6868-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.21-2-8616.716.60.0816.414.12.34
Greivis Vasquez5353-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.08-8-2-616.516.7-0.2114.216.4-2.18
Marc Gasol106106-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.11-9-1-817.012.94.1315.117.7-2.61
Zach Randolph103103-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.29-5-5016.716.10.5716.110.45.74
Darrell Arthur1517-0.510.01-0.52-0.13-133-1617.616.51.1114.915.5-0.54
Tony Allen6362-0.820.32-1.14-0.15-2313-3617.016.30.7014.816.1-1.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.06,0.09,0.54,0.25,0.29,0.04,0.09,0.54,0.39,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.34,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 117, MEM 1110.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.36,0.11,0.09,0.09,083.7%
CLE 115, MIL 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0.16,0.54,0.55,0.37,0.33,0.27,083.6%
CHA 129, SAC 1280.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.17,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.14,0.07,0.14,0.04,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.24,0.17,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.78,0.58,083.3%