NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	101		Excitement	9.0 [119]		MVP	Matt Bonner (SAS): +45.2%
San Antonio Spurs	98		Comeback	10.5 [90]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -22.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.45	0.08	0.36	0.00	5	100%	0.48	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.20	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2	0.16	0.05	0.01	10	80%	0.29	2	-0.09	10	60%	-0.08
Zach Randolph	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.06	0.10	0.00	15	66%	0.28	4	-0.13	8	62%	-0.03
O.J. Mayo	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.11	-0.00	13	50%	0.19	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.06	-0.00	3	33%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Hamed Haddadi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	6	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.13
Mike Conley	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.22	-0.03	-0.17	0.01	10	54%	-0.00	4	-0.22	8	75%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.45,0.45	0.45	0.11	0.33	-0.01	4	86%	0.45	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.02	6	81%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	0.00	7	56%	-0.01	1	-0.03	13	85%	0.07
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	9	41%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	5	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.08,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	16	42%	-0.08	2	-0.04	16	75%	0.02
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.13	-0.01	13	57%	0.02	3	-0.14	2	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.4	0.8	35.4	18.7	35.2	3.6	40.1	165.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +109.6%

SAS -27.4%

SAS -0.1%

SAS -31.1%

SAS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	16.7	14.8	15.5	109.8	107.7	105.7
season	15.5	15.5		106.1	109.3
opponent	15.2	15.5		103.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.7	16.5	18.9	14.7	16.7
SAS	16.8	15.5	12.4	14.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	48	45	0.91	-0.41	1.31	0.67	8	-5	13	16.5	16.8	-0.34	16.1	13.5	2.59
Marc Gasol	75	73	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.41	8	-5	13	16.7	16.3	0.45	14.8	14.6	0.24
Zach Randolph	81	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	1	1	16.5	18.2	-1.73	14.9	14.4	0.44
Mike Conley	84	83	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.39	-1	4	-5	17.0	12.6	4.42	14.8	14.4	0.47
O.J. Mayo	55	57	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	-4	11	16.9	16.3	0.57	13.7	16.6	-2.90
Greivis Vasquez	8	8	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	-1	5	12.6	17.0	-4.42	14.4	14.8	-0.47
Hamed Haddadi	1	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	3	-3	9.0	16.7	-7.75	22.0	14.7	7.28
Sam Young	30	27	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.08	-4	7	-11	17.2	16.4	0.85	16.9	13.9	2.91
Shane Battier	48	51	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	6	-9	16.3	17.0	-0.69	13.6	16.3	-2.63
Ish Smith	3	2	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.04	-2	5	-7	14.7	16.7	-2.06	18.0	14.7	3.27
Darrell Arthur	27	29	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.07	-4	7	-11	17.3	16.4	0.95	14.3	15.0	-0.77

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeJuan Blair	40	41	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.10	8	-11	19	15.0	14.7	0.31	17.2	16.2	0.96
Danny Green	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-3	3	1.0	15.0	-13.96	27.0	16.5	10.45
Antonio McDyess	25	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.01	-2	-1	-1	14.8	14.8	-0.00	16.2	16.9	-0.68
Gary Neal	48	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	13	-29	15.2	14.3	0.95	16.1	17.3	-1.17
George Hill	77	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-4	5	15.0	13.9	1.03	17.1	14.6	2.47
Tony Parker	77	81	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.57	6	-9	15	14.3	17.6	-3.27	16.5	17.6	-1.11
Richard Jefferson	70	70	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-3	3	15.1	13.9	1.17	16.6	16.9	-0.32
Tim Duncan	68	69	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-1	-1	14.8	14.9	-0.15	17.0	15.7	1.35
Matt Bonner	49	47	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	7	-17	14.7	14.9	-0.19	16.0	17.4	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.1,0.16,0.32,0.91,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 83, LAC 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.58,0	89.7%
BOS 94, DAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.56,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.25,0.36,0.45,0.74,0	88.8%
MIA 93, WAS 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.88,0.81,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.53,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.14,0.29,0.55,0.41,0	88.6%