NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	98		Excitement	3.6 [1078]		MVP	Vince Carter (ORL): +14.9%
Atlanta Hawks	84		Comeback	1.0 [1125]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -9.1%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.01	0.02	12	73%	0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	10	81%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	8	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	11	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.04
Marcin Gortat	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	5	81%	0.10	7	-0.10	6	50%	-0.00
Jason Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	6	25%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	15	44%	0.02	1	0.00	11	73%	0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	13	48%	0.01	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randolph Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	11	52%	-0.00	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	15	40%	-0.06	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.6	2.8	32.2	20.4	32.4	3.7	30.2	151.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +73.9%

ATL -11.1%

ORL +5.1%

ATL -17.6%

ATL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	ATL	NBA	ORL	ATL	NBA
this game	16.8	17.4	15.3	115.3	101.2	106.0
season	15.4	16.0		110.1	109.4
opponent	15.8	15.9		106.0	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.8	15.9	13.6	23.1	16.8
ATL	17.0	19.1	17.7	15.7	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	54	52	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.32	29	-15	44	17.8	15.2	2.65	17.8	16.8	1.02
Dwight Howard	75	74	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.11	21	-7	28	16.6	18.8	-2.21	18.0	12.9	5.11
Vince Carter	73	71	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.15	20	-6	26	16.4	19.4	-2.99	17.2	18.7	-1.52
Jameer Nelson	57	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	3	8	14.7	21.2	-6.57	17.4	17.6	-0.24
Matt Barnes	46	44	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.02	12	2	10	14.7	19.4	-4.69	17.4	17.5	-0.17
Mickael Pietrus	39	39	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	12	-10	19.4	14.7	4.69	17.5	17.4	0.17
Jason Williams	28	28	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	11	-8	21.2	14.7	6.57	17.6	17.4	0.24
JJ Redick	12	12	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.24	-6	20	-26	19.4	16.4	2.99	18.7	17.2	1.52
Marcin Gortat	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	22	-30	16.9	16.8	0.10	15.3	17.9	-2.60
Ryan Anderson	27	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.37	-14	28	-42	15.6	17.4	-1.84	16.3	18.0	-1.71

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-20	26	11.0	17.9	-6.95	22.4	16.3	6.08
Randolph Morris	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-21	28	7.7	17.8	-10.15	25.3	16.5	8.80
Zaza Pachulia	30	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.25	3	-17	20	16.9	17.8	-0.85	16.2	17.2	-1.06
Maurice Evans	43	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-5	-4	17.4	17.4	-0.01	16.1	17.7	-1.61
Marvin Williams	38	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-10	6	17.1	17.7	-0.58	17.9	15.9	2.04
Jamal Crawford	68	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-11	8	17.4	17.7	-0.35	17.2	15.2	2.04
Mike Bibby	20	21	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.14	-16	2	-18	18.6	17.1	1.59	15.4	17.3	-1.95
Josh Smith	62	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	3	-20	17.8	16.5	1.30	17.0	16.2	0.81
Al Horford	68	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	3	-20	17.7	16.3	1.44	16.5	18.1	-1.59
Joe Johnson	77	78	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	6	-26	17.9	11.0	6.95	16.3	22.4	-6.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 133, LAC 120	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	95.6%
ATL 112, MIN 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
IND 105, CHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%