NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	112		Excitement	4.2 [967]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (ATL): +12.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	87		Comeback	1.0 [1238]		LVP	Al Jefferson (MIN): -9.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	-0.00	-0.01	17	65%	0.17	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.01	11	67%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	18	55%	0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Josh Smith	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	6	77%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Al Horford	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	15	48%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Othello Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Randolph Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	0	75%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.06	13	50%	0.07	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	12	56%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nathan Jawai	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	1	25%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Oleksiy Pecherov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	12	50%	0.00	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	6	32%	-0.05	1	0.00	10	70%	-0.02
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	4	36%	-0.02	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	12	57%	-0.01	5	-0.09	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	30.4	15.4	28.6	2.3	35.3	138.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +41.4%

MIN -4.3%

MIN -1.1%

ATL +12.3%

ATL +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	NBA	ATL	MIN	NBA
this game	16.0	14.2	15.3	117.9	90.6	106.0
season	16.0	14.7		109.4	100.1
opponent	14.8	15.8		109.8	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.2	14.8	17.7	16.2	16.0
MIN	15.4	14.6	14.4	12.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Horford	81	80	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.06	12	13	-1	16.4	13.4	2.98	14.3	13.9	0.39
Joe Johnson	66	66	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	13	-1	16.2	15.5	0.70	14.7	13.0	1.74
Marvin Williams	60	59	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	6	13	16.1	15.7	0.49	15.1	12.8	2.21
Jamal Crawford	53	54	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.13	16	9	7	16.0	15.9	0.11	13.8	14.8	-1.00
Josh Smith	38	40	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.24	19	6	13	16.9	15.3	1.63	15.0	13.6	1.33
Maurice Evans	41	42	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.25	18	7	11	15.5	16.3	-0.80	13.6	14.7	-1.11
Zaza Pachulia	37	38	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	22	-19	16.1	15.9	0.14	15.5	13.4	2.11
Randolph Morris	21	21	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.09	8	17	-9	14.4	16.4	-2.04	14.7	14.1	0.66
Mike Bibby	54	55	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	24	-23	16.6	15.2	1.36	14.3	14.0	0.30
Jeff Teague	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	18	-11	12.4	16.3	-3.92	9.6	14.6	-4.99
Othello Hunter	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.22	7	18	-11	12.1	16.4	-4.26	8.6	14.8	-6.23
Jason Collins	7	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.10	3	22	-19	13.1	16.2	-3.05	7.7	14.8	-7.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Oleksiy Pecherov	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-23	21	8.8	14.6	-5.72	13.0	16.1	-3.13
Nathan Jawai	15	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.23	-9	-16	7	11.4	14.7	-3.32	13.9	16.4	-2.50
Sasha Pavlovic	24	22	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.11	-6	-19	13	12.6	14.7	-2.10	15.1	16.2	-1.14
Jonny Flynn	53	54	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-18	11	13.7	14.8	-1.07	16.3	15.5	0.76
Ryan Hollins	39	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-18	11	13.6	14.6	-1.07	16.2	15.8	0.44
Wayne Ellington	29	27	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.10	-10	-15	5	12.6	14.9	-2.36	15.6	16.1	-0.47
Damien Wilkins	63	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.20	-16	-9	-7	14.8	13.1	1.64	16.3	15.4	0.91
Ramon Sessions	43	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	-7	-11	14.8	13.7	1.07	15.5	16.3	-0.76
Kevin Love	65	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	-11	-3	15.1	12.3	2.82	16.3	15.4	0.89
Al Jefferson	67	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.08	-18	-7	-11	14.8	12.8	1.96	16.2	15.4	0.87
Corey Brewer	76	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.06	-18	-7	-11	14.9	11.7	3.16	16.1	15.4	0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.26,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 98, ATL 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
BOS 101, CHA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
SAS 99, UTA 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%