NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	88		Excitement	3.6 [1071]		MVP	Channing Frye (PHX): +16.4%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	2.6 [791]		LVP	Rudy Fernandez (POR): -3.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	14	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	69%	0.06	3	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.05	15	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	12	62%	0.11	5	-0.12	10	70%	-0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	7	31%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Fernandez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.18	0.03	0.04	11	80%	0.16	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	11	68%	0.12	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.16	0.02	0.12	10	86%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	5	44%	0.03	2	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	14	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwayne Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	74%	0.10	5	-0.11	9	100%	0.05
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	-0.08	11	29%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.7	35.2	20.8	33.8	2.8	33.3	155.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +1.7%

PHX +21.1%

PHX +17.0%

PHX +8.2%

PHX +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	18.0	15.9	15.3	102.3	127.4	106.0
season	16.7	14.4		108.8	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.6		109.0	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	19.2	19.5	17.8	15.5	18.0
PHX	15.1	15.5	15.7	17.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	47	46	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-20	21	19.9	15.6	4.33	18.1	13.2	4.87
Patty Mills	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-24	29	9.1	18.7	-9.59	13.0	16.2	-3.17
Jeff Ayres	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-25	31	9.8	19.4	-9.55	16.2	15.8	0.39
Nicolas Batum	34	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-17	15	18.6	17.5	1.15	17.3	15.1	2.25
Martell Webster	26	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-17	15	15.3	19.1	-3.85	16.0	15.9	0.14
Juwan Howard	14	14	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	-6	-7	20.6	17.4	3.21	14.2	16.2	-2.03
Jerryd Bayless	63	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	-7	-5	18.9	15.3	3.68	17.0	12.7	4.30
Andre Miller	66	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-7	-5	18.2	17.0	1.18	16.4	14.4	1.91
Brandon Roy	33	33	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.26	-21	2	-23	20.4	16.4	3.96	14.3	16.9	-2.64
Rudy Fernandez	31	30	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	-5	-9	15.8	19.1	-3.31	13.4	17.3	-3.90
LaMarcus Aldridge	68	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.21	-20	1	-21	19.5	12.2	7.32	16.0	15.5	0.52
Dante Cunningham	28	27	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	-8	-3	13.8	19.9	-6.13	12.7	17.4	-4.72

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	45	45	0.70	-0.20	0.89	-0.36	36	-17	53	14.4	17.6	-3.15	18.8	17.0	1.73
Channing Frye	48	48	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.27	32	-13	45	13.9	18.6	-4.64	19.9	15.6	4.30
Jason Richardson	50	51	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	6	7	15.6	16.4	-0.75	18.7	16.8	1.95
Amar'e Stoudemire	55	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.18	18	1	17	15.6	16.6	-0.99	18.8	16.2	2.53
Steve Nash	48	49	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	7	5	15.6	16.2	-0.60	19.0	16.5	2.53
Goran Dragic	36	37	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	12	-5	16.2	15.6	0.60	16.5	19.0	-2.53
Lou Amundson	33	34	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	12	-5	16.8	15.3	1.55	16.8	18.7	-1.87
Leandro Barbosa	34	35	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	13	-7	16.4	15.6	0.75	16.8	18.7	-1.95
Dwayne Jones	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	24	-29	13.1	16.2	-3.07	9.0	19.0	-10.00
Earl Clark	13	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	25	-31	16.2	15.8	0.39	9.8	19.4	-9.55
Jarron Collins	19	19	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.19	-13	32	-45	20.1	14.7	5.36	18.2	17.9	0.33
Grant Hill	31	32	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.16	-12	31	-43	18.7	14.2	4.50	19.3	17.1	2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 88, LAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MIL 82, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.78,0.86,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
BOS 77, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.78,0.91,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%