inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 88 Excitement8.3 [191] MVPShane Battier (HOU): +35.1%
Houston Rockets 89 Comeback4.1 [399] LVPMetta World Peace (HOU): -43.1%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0.170,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.170.040.11-0.021751%0.181-0.023100%0.04
Brandon Roy0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.01,-0.04,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.070.11-0.030.011766%0.364-0.2913100%0.09
Sergio Rodriguez0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Rudy Fernandez-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.010.010.03550%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Channing Frye-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Greg Oden-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Joel Przybilla-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.040.02-0.060.002100%0.081-0.1200%0.00
Nicolas Batum-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.00250%-0.002-0.0600%0.00
Travis Outlaw-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1-0.01-0.09-0.001450%-0.012-0.0900%0.00
Steve Blake-0.160,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.160.04-0.190.01958%-0.051-0.111100%0.01

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.19,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.350.350.130.22-0.00887%0.3500.0000%0.00
Von Wafer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.100.010.00871%0.1100.001100%0.00
Yao Ming0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.040.001458%0.142-0.06887%0.03
Luis Scola0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.02-0.021845%0.021-0.00250%-0.02
Carl Landry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.02-0.00450%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Charles Hayes00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02-0.02-0.020.010.00536%-0.0200.00450%-0.02
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.33-0.33-0.10-0.190.04625%-0.222-0.11450%-0.08
Metta World Peace0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.2,-0.25,-0.32,-0.32,-0.38,-0.43-0.43-0.18-0.250.012028%-0.323-0.11333%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.93.531.419.726.73.045.2155.3
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR -8.5%
POR -34.8%
HOU +33.5%
HOU +41.6%
HOU +18.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORHOUNBAPORHOUNBA
this game16.119.315.5107.3109.9106.4
season16.716.3111.0105.9
opponent15.216.0102.7105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR15.716.217.015.516.1
HOU18.619.818.220.519.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nicolas Batum1616-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-1116.915.90.9721.718.63.10
Sergio Rodriguez76-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-1114.716.2-1.5113.219.7-6.58
Channing Frye55-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-1120.815.85.0115.019.5-4.54
Greg Oden1719-0.03-0.470.440.12-54-916.116.10.0319.019.3-0.34
Rudy Fernandez4545-0.04-0.460.41-0.195-61113.918.8-4.8517.521.5-4.03
Joel Przybilla4441-0.20-0.300.09-0.324-5917.614.43.2222.116.35.80
Brandon Roy7372-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.492-3515.818.9-3.1419.418.11.29
LaMarcus Aldridge7676-0.510.01-0.51-0.48-10-116.214.71.5419.121.2-2.07
Travis Outlaw5655-0.530.03-0.56-0.44-32-516.116.2-0.1418.121.6-3.47
Steve Blake7170-0.720.22-0.93-0.51-76-1316.513.82.6319.915.04.93

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Metta World Peace61610.69-0.190.870.545-4920.316.04.2616.913.93.01
Kyle Lowry43450.53-0.030.570.5110118.220.4-2.1914.817.6-2.83
Shane Battier70710.390.110.270.41-12-318.921.8-2.9615.917.3-1.36
Yao Ming72720.370.130.230.225-4920.112.77.4216.711.55.24
Carl Landry19200.200.30-0.090.23-12-322.218.43.8616.915.81.06
Aaron Brooks42410.190.31-0.120.22-12-318.520.1-1.5316.415.80.63
Charles Hayes9100.130.37-0.230.25-45-912.720.1-7.4211.516.7-5.24
Luis Scola58580.070.43-0.35-0.013-2519.618.41.1516.614.91.67
Von Wafer3132-0.070.57-0.64-0.01-23-518.120.0-1.8815.016.8-1.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.41,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.72,0.68,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 99, CLE 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.55,0.72,0.84,0.73,191.0%
MIA 93, NYK 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.42,0.53,0.65,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.77,0.58,190.3%
CHI 86, CLE 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.38,0.34,0.21,0.13,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.55,0.63,0.94,1,190.0%