NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	99		Excitement	9.4 [78]		MVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): +50.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	100		Comeback	3.5 [460]		LVP	Anthony Parker (CLE): -24.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.11	-0.04	0.14	-0.01	14	37%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.08
James Harden	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	8	41%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Nenad Krstic	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	47%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Byron Mullens	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	18	51%	0.02	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.02
Eric Maynor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16	0.10	-0.20	0.06	25	54%	-0.07	1	-0.09	13	92%	0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.51	0.51	-0.01	0.50	-0.02	13	50%	0.57	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.18	0.18	0.08	0.12	0.02	19	65%	0.36	6	-0.17	19	68%	-0.00
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.00	0.01	7	86%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.05	0.01	10	63%	0.06	2	-0.05	15	40%	-0.26
Cedric Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	2	33%	-0.14	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.26
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.14	-0.12	-0.01	7	14%	-0.16	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	32.5	15.5	26.3	2.5	38.3	142.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +132.6%

OKC -70.1%

OKC -2.8%

OKC -12.9%

CLE +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CLE	NBA	OKC	CLE	NBA
this game	15.2	15.7	15.3	106.5	107.5	106.0
season	15.0	16.1		106.2	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.5		103.3	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.7	15.7	14.7	17.1	15.2
CLE	13.5	13.7	20.6	16.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	34	34	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.00	6	-7	13	15.6	15.0	0.62	18.3	14.3	4.07
Eric Maynor	22	22	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.01	2	-3	5	18.7	14.1	4.59	17.3	15.3	2.06
Byron Mullens	10	10	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-1	1	14.4	15.3	-0.93	15.0	15.8	-0.83
Nenad Krstic	31	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	4	-9	15.7	15.0	0.73	14.9	16.2	-1.27
James Harden	52	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.20	4	-5	9	14.9	15.6	-0.69	16.2	15.1	1.07
Kevin Durant	84	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.52	4	-5	9	14.8	19.4	-4.67	15.8	14.7	1.09
Jeff Green	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.52	4	-5	9	15.1	15.8	-0.66	15.2	17.9	-2.73
Serge Ibaka	33	33	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	4	-9	17.4	14.0	3.31	17.2	14.9	2.33
Russell Westbrook	71	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.47	-3	2	-5	14.1	18.7	-4.59	15.3	17.3	-2.06
Thabo Sefolosha	52	51	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.43	-12	11	-23	14.7	15.9	-1.21	13.9	18.0	-4.16

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	59	60	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.26	13	-12	25	15.8	15.6	0.20	17.2	11.7	5.47
JJ Hickson	61	60	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-10	21	15.6	16.1	-0.54	15.7	14.3	1.48
Daniel Gibson	63	64	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.53	-1	2	-3	15.7	15.7	0.01	16.1	13.4	2.68
Anthony Parker	66	65	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.47	1	0	1	15.1	17.4	-2.29	15.7	14.1	1.60
LeBron James	84	83	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.47	-1	2	-3	15.8	15.2	0.58	14.8	18.7	-3.89
Cedric Jackson	4	5	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	-7	15	15.7	15.7	0.01	11.4	15.4	-4.04
Jawad Williams	44	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.31	-6	7	-13	16.2	15.3	0.96	15.1	15.4	-0.29
Danny Green	22	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	-1	3	14.8	16.0	-1.27	12.9	16.0	-3.13
Anderson Varejao	38	39	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.25	-16	17	-33	16.3	15.3	1.01	13.6	16.4	-2.73
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	24	23	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.06	-6	7	-13	16.7	15.4	1.25	12.8	16.0	-3.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.55,0.72,0.84,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 99, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.45,0.84,0.94,0.95,1	91.7%
MIN 97, BKN 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.56,0.63,0.74,0.84,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.87,0.72,1	91.6%
BOS 97, BKN 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.91,0.91,1	91.5%