NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Excitement	3.9 [1041]		MVP	Antonio McDyess (DET): +10.9%
Detroit Pistons	78		Comeback	1.3 [1132]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -16.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.12	-0.00	0.05	14	80%	0.16	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Delonte West	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.02	0.07	24	55%	0.10	2	-0.05	17	94%	0.05
Anderson Varejao	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.17	0.01	0.07	18	65%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.00	0.01	12	76%	0.16	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.02
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	14	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	35%	-0.03	1	-0.03	7	57%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	7	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-0.03	12	23%	-0.08	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	3.7	32.2	19.7	26.3	3.4	30.2	144.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +39.1%

CLE +2.8%

CLE +2.5%

CLE +2.6%

CLE +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	18.9	16.0	15.5	119.3	95.1	106.4
season	16.9	16.9		110.6	104.9
opponent	15.7	15.2		106.2	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.1	15.9	21.2	23.5	18.9
DET	16.6	15.4	17.7	14.4	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	75	75	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.12	27	-6	33	19.1	16.9	2.23	16.3	12.3	4.06
Mo Williams	66	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.19	28	-7	35	19.2	17.5	1.71	16.4	14.2	2.25
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	40	41	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.01	13	8	5	18.5	19.3	-0.76	17.6	14.4	3.12
Anderson Varejao	54	54	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.02	12	9	3	19.0	18.7	0.26	16.5	15.0	1.57
LeBron James	70	69	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	11	-1	19.2	17.2	1.97	16.1	15.3	0.82
Ben Wallace	26	25	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	15	-9	18.5	19.1	-0.63	15.2	16.4	-1.15
Wally Szczerbiak	27	27	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	18	-15	17.0	19.8	-2.80	14.3	16.8	-2.48
Joe Smith	40	37	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	18	-15	19.1	18.7	0.45	14.9	16.9	-1.92
Sasha Pavlovic	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	18	-15	21.0	18.8	2.19	13.0	16.1	-3.11
Tarence Kinsey	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	18	-15	21.0	18.8	2.19	13.0	16.1	-3.11
Darnell Jackson	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	18	-15	21.0	18.8	2.19	13.0	16.1	-3.11
Daniel Gibson	8	7	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.01	-6	27	-33	16.9	19.1	-2.23	12.3	16.3	-4.06

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-18	15	13.0	16.1	-3.11	21.0	18.8	2.19
Arron Afflalo	23	24	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-19	17	13.6	16.9	-3.32	17.8	19.3	-1.55
Walter Herrmann	11	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.16	-11	-10	-1	14.8	16.2	-1.36	16.7	19.3	-2.60
Will Bynum	48	48	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	-12	3	15.2	17.1	-1.91	19.3	18.3	0.95
Tayshaun Prince	55	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-16	11	16.6	14.7	1.88	17.9	20.8	-2.91
Antonio McDyess	68	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.13	-5	-16	11	15.6	17.9	-2.24	18.8	19.3	-0.47
Rasheed Wallace	49	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	-7	-7	17.0	14.5	2.43	19.4	18.1	1.26
Rodney Stuckey	46	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	-4	-13	16.5	15.4	1.14	19.7	17.8	1.87
Jason Maxiell	44	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.17	-20	-1	-19	15.7	16.3	-0.64	18.3	19.6	-1.27
Richard Hamilton	63	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	-2	-17	16.8	13.4	3.36	19.7	16.4	3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.14,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 93, CLE 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
PHI 98, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
ORL 114, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%