NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	82		Excitement	6.1 [567]		MVP	Carl Landry (HOU): +17.4%
Utah Jazz	86		Comeback	1.4 [1045]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): -16.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.07	0.07	-0.03	6	62%	0.17	0	0.00	9	78%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.04	7	62%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Luther Head	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	18	42%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.02	10	18%	-0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Tracy McGrady	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	25	40%	-0.09	2	-0.08	8	50%	-0.07

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	63%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.06	-0.01	11	42%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	11	58%	0.07	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	13	41%	0.01	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.05
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	11	57%	0.06	4	-0.13	8	62%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	2.8	34.0	19.5	26.4	3.7	38.5	151.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.9%

UTA +1.8%

UTA +12.5%

HOU -0.1%

UTA +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	15.9	15.8	15.4	90.1	94.5	105.7
season	16.2	15.5		104.6	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.2		105.0	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.8	17.0	16.7	15.0	15.9
UTA	15.2	14.3	16.8	17.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	6	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-2	0	16.0	15.9	0.13	15.2	15.8	-0.65
Charles Hayes	35	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-7	10	15.9	15.9	-0.04	16.2	15.5	0.80
Luther Head	7	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	1	-6	17.6	15.7	1.83	13.0	16.0	-3.00
Dikembe Mutombo	36	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-1	-2	16.3	15.6	0.75	16.4	15.4	1.03
Tracy McGrady	74	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.43	7	-11	18	15.6	17.3	-1.74	16.0	14.7	1.31
Bobby Jackson	29	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	5	-14	15.8	15.9	-0.13	14.8	16.3	-1.50
Carl Landry	60	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-4	4	15.2	17.1	-1.85	16.0	15.3	0.68
Shane Battier	75	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-3	2	15.6	17.3	-1.74	15.7	16.2	-0.52
Luis Scola	49	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	2	-8	16.8	14.8	1.94	15.3	16.3	-1.04
Rafer Alston	84	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.36	-4	0	-4	16.1	13.7	2.35	15.9	14.4	1.53

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	45	44	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-7	18	15.7	15.9	-0.20	16.1	15.6	0.50
Mehmet Okur	75	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-6	16	15.9	15.2	0.63	16.3	13.9	2.36
Deron Williams	85	87	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.35	5	-1	6	15.9	13.8	2.07	16.1	10.5	5.63
Carlos Boozer	73	72	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	3	-2	15.5	16.9	-1.46	15.7	16.6	-0.88
Andrei Kirilenko	55	54	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	-2	8	15.5	16.2	-0.80	16.0	15.7	0.30
Matt Harpring	37	38	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.16	-4	8	-12	16.2	15.5	0.66	15.6	16.1	-0.47
Paul Millsap	34	35	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	7	-10	16.1	15.5	0.60	15.4	16.2	-0.83
Ronnie Price	6	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	5	-6	13.8	15.9	-2.07	10.5	16.1	-5.63
Ronnie Brewer	45	46	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	9	-14	15.9	15.6	0.32	15.7	16.0	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.75,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 108, OKC 120	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.81,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.96,1,1,1	94.9%
		93.6%
DEN 87, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	93.5%