NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	100		Excitement	3.6 [1074]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +11.7%
San Antonio Spurs	108		Comeback	1.6 [1007]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -11.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Deron Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.18	-0.00	0.16	23	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafael Araujo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	7	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	5	70%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	7	44%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	15	31%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.00	0.04	17	50%	-0.03	5	-0.08	6	100%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.00	-0.01	14	68%	0.15	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	15	63%	0.17	3	-0.06	13	69%	0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.03	8	74%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.11	0.00	0.06	5	78%	0.05	0	0.00	8	100%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	15	52%	0.07	6	-0.09	10	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.2	3.5	32.5	17.8	30.2	3.7	43.3	163.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +54.5%

UTA -0.9%

UTA -7.6%

SAS +3.5%

SAS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAS	NBA	UTA	SAS	NBA
this game	16.6	15.2	15.4	109.9	120.0	104.5
season	15.9	16.2		107.4	107.5
opponent	15.4	15.0		98.9	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.0	18.9	15.5	13.8	16.6
SAS	13.8	15.4	17.2	14.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rafael Araujo	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.22	7	-15	22	14.6	17.1	-2.45	16.1	15.0	1.09
Jarron Collins	6	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-4	0	18.7	16.5	2.17	19.0	14.8	4.20
Gordan Giricek	27	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	-3	-2	15.8	17.0	-1.17	13.0	16.1	-3.12
Paul Millsap	28	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	5	-18	18.5	15.8	2.69	12.9	16.1	-3.22
Matt Harpring	41	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-2	-4	17.2	16.2	1.02	15.1	15.2	-0.14
Andrei Kirilenko	55	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-3	-2	16.8	16.3	0.50	14.9	15.6	-0.71
Derek Fisher	69	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-7	6	17.2	15.0	2.16	15.8	13.0	2.78
Carlos Boozer	68	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-9	10	16.0	18.7	-2.70	16.6	10.8	5.83
Mehmet Okur	62	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	-1	-6	16.7	16.4	0.33	14.3	16.8	-2.49
Deron Williams	82	81	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	-1	-6	16.2	20.9	-4.72	15.2	15.1	0.07

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	66	65	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.07	17	-9	26	13.9	18.8	-4.93	16.5	17.1	-0.62
Tim Duncan	72	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	0	8	15.8	12.6	3.21	16.7	16.4	0.27
Tony Parker	73	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.20	6	2	4	14.7	17.4	-2.68	16.5	17.2	-0.74
Francisco Elson	19	20	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	1	6	16.8	14.7	2.04	17.1	16.5	0.59
Robert Horry	31	30	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	1	6	14.2	15.7	-1.45	18.6	15.7	2.98
Michael Finley	49	50	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	4	0	15.6	14.7	0.86	15.1	18.5	-3.37
Brent Barry	22	23	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	5	-2	15.0	15.2	-0.30	18.3	16.1	2.29
Jacque Vaughn	17	17	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	6	-4	17.4	14.7	2.68	17.2	16.5	0.74
Fabricio Oberto	57	58	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.29	-7	15	-22	14.6	16.2	-1.59	15.6	18.4	-2.80
Bruce Bowen	44	46	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.28	-7	15	-22	16.5	13.9	2.59	17.4	15.9	1.48
Beno Udrih	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	0.0	15.2	-15.18	6.0	16.8	-10.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 98, POR 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.5%
UTA 77, POR 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.83,0.82,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.1%
UTA 102, GSW 128	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%