NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	113		Excitement	4.9 [850]		MVP	James Jones (PHX): +11.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	100		Comeback	1.2 [1038]		LVP	Luke Walton (LAL): -17.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Jones	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	5	110%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	15	61%	0.10	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.03	-0.05	12	50%	0.12	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Boris Diaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	20	54%	0.11	5	-0.12	10	70%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.04	15	50%	0.00	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	8	69%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	69%	0.07	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	25	55%	0.15	6	-0.11	6	100%	0.05
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	19	43%	0.01	2	-0.01	6	33%	-0.06
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.06	6	58%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.03	0.08	5	64%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	0.01	11	45%	-0.00	7	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.3	33.6	18.6	30.1	3.6	36.5	151.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +25.1%

PHX +3.0%

PHX +12.8%

PHX +7.4%

PHX +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	13.6	14.9	15.4	113.0	98.0	104.5
season	13.8	15.3		112.2	106.3
opponent	14.9	16.0		107.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.4	13.4	14.6	15.0	13.6
LAL	15.7	15.4	14.2	14.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	90	92	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.09	19	-6	25	13.6	12.9	0.74	15.1	13.7	1.37
Amar'e Stoudemire	88	88	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-3	19	13.5	13.8	-0.30	14.8	15.5	-0.66
Steve Nash	80	82	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.02	18	-5	23	13.4	14.2	-0.79	15.6	12.3	3.21
Raja Bell	78	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	1	11	13.9	12.5	1.37	15.4	13.5	1.93
Leandro Barbosa	62	64	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	10	-7	13.3	13.9	-0.61	14.1	16.3	-2.25
Boris Diaw	55	58	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	14	-15	13.4	13.8	-0.46	13.7	16.5	-2.76
James Jones	33	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	15	-17	13.9	13.4	0.46	15.3	14.8	0.55
Kurt Thomas	14	15	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	13	-13	13.6	13.6	0.08	16.2	14.7	1.49

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	15	15	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.04	6	-19	25	13.3	15.2	-1.87	14.1	13.5	0.58
Shammond Williams	42	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-14	15	14.8	15.0	-0.21	14.4	13.0	1.42
Andrew Bynum	30	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-10	7	13.8	15.4	-1.56	13.0	13.8	-0.85
Ronny Turiaf	11	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-11	9	15.0	14.9	0.08	16.1	13.3	2.81
Sasha Vujacic	12	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-9	5	15.0	14.9	0.08	13.2	13.6	-0.36
Maurice Evans	43	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.04	-4	-9	5	14.3	15.4	-1.01	12.5	14.4	-1.82
Jordan Farmar	27	27	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	-5	-3	16.6	14.3	2.26	12.3	14.0	-1.69
Smush Parker	41	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-10	7	14.0	15.5	-1.48	14.6	12.9	1.68
Kobe Bryant	100	97	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.10	-9	-4	-5	14.7	26.0	-11.29	13.5	16.3	-2.85
Luke Walton	54	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.03	-12	-1	-11	15.2	14.7	0.50	13.3	13.9	-0.61
Kwame Brown	62	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	1	-15	16.0	13.3	2.60	13.1	14.3	-1.17
Lamar Odom	73	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.12	-13	0	-13	15.2	14.1	1.11	14.2	12.0	2.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 90, CHI 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.4%
MIN 96, CHI 76	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
POR 117, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%