inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Jersey Nets 89 Excitement1.9 [1308] MVPDwyane Wade (MIA): +13.7%
Miami Heat 111 Comeback1.0 [1290] LVPVince Carter (NJN): -3.2%


New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Kidd0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.060.000.051160%0.031-0.013100%0.01
Lamond Murray0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.06665%0.001-0.005100%0.01
Zoran Planinic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Antoine Wright0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Thomas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Scott Padgett0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02175%0.0000.00250%0.00
Nenad Krstic-0.000,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.031050%0.013-0.01875%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.080.00-0.0750%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.021650%0.023-0.0300%0.00
Clifford Robinson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03430%-0.011-0.01250%-0.01
Jason Collins-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.03356%0.001-0.02333%-0.01
Vince Carter-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.08-0.030.091165%-0.012-0.021292%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.210.000.071974%0.141-0.014100%0.00
Jason Williams0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.100.01-0.13958%0.087-0.03683%0.01
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.140.000.104137%0.0400.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.01765%0.052-0.013100%0.01
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.011748%0.0300.001030%-0.02
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.050.000.03270%0.0200.00683%0.00
Derek Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01350%0.0200.0000%0.00
Antoine Walker0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01650%0.011-0.0000%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.002100%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wayne Simien0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game33.03.533.519.727.23.735.0155.5
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +35.2%
MIA +1.1%
MIA +3.1%
MIA +6.5%
MIA +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNJNMIANBANJNMIANBA
this game15.916.115.697.8124.7104.4
season15.715.5102.1106.1
opponent15.515.7102.3100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NJN15.415.515.717.115.9
MIA12.818.815.618.016.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zoran Planinic450.00-0.500.50-0.031-232418.215.82.4619.215.93.28
Antoine Wright109-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-242616.115.90.2219.715.73.97
Scott Padgett109-0.00-0.500.50-0.062-242616.115.90.2219.715.73.97
John Thomas1716-0.02-0.480.450.01-1-212015.116.1-0.9616.216.10.18
Clifford Robinson5554-0.09-0.410.31-0.152-242615.516.4-0.9015.816.5-0.73
Jacque Vaughn2624-0.11-0.390.290.13-8-14614.816.3-1.4817.415.61.80
Lamond Murray4040-0.15-0.350.21-0.171-232416.215.60.5817.215.22.04
Nenad Krstic5452-0.36-0.14-0.220.26-21-1-2015.616.3-0.6215.217.3-2.05
Richard Jefferson6968-0.42-0.07-0.350.19-21-1-2016.015.50.4715.418.5-3.11
Vince Carter6563-0.45-0.05-0.390.29-253-2815.816.0-0.1915.916.7-0.78
Jason Kidd6666-0.45-0.05-0.400.11-19-3-1616.115.40.7515.617.6-2.03
Jason Collins3939-0.45-0.05-0.410.22-231-2416.715.31.3416.116.10.00

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade74740.50-0.000.51-0.2325-32815.320.1-4.8515.716.9-1.21
Antoine Walker61610.440.060.37-0.212202215.617.2-1.6216.015.60.40
Shaquille O'Neal53550.410.090.32-0.232202215.916.4-0.4415.816.0-0.16
Jason Williams65680.410.100.31-0.091751215.916.7-0.7715.915.80.16
Udonis Haslem61670.390.110.270.041210215.517.5-2.0415.018.3-3.30
James Posey53530.160.34-0.18-0.02616-1017.014.72.3216.315.40.87
Alonzo Mourning22200.100.40-0.29-0.10715-814.716.6-1.8917.015.61.47
Gary Payton28290.100.40-0.31-0.02418-1417.115.61.5215.616.0-0.46
Michael Doleac9100.000.50-0.500.06-224-2619.715.73.9716.115.90.22
Wayne Simien870.000.50-0.500.03-123-2419.715.74.0117.315.81.50
Derek Anderson1111-0.000.50-0.510.06-224-2620.215.54.6618.015.62.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 100, SEA 1250.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,198.3%
ORL 79, MIA 1050.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.9%
IND 89, PHX 1240.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.8%