NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	87		Excitement	8.1 [259]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +11.9%
Denver Nuggets	94		Comeback	1.7 [840]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -19.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	13	68%	0.28	5	-0.16	8	75%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	8	50%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	13	57%	0.08	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	7	44%	-0.01	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Elton Brand	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	15	47%	0.01	3	-0.17	6	83%	0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	6	17%	-0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	-0.01	6	67%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	12	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	17	45%	0.05	2	-0.09	19	63%	-0.05
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	46%	0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	2	62%	0.08	5	-0.15	4	75%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	14	44%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.06
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	13	39%	-0.06	1	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	3.4	41.3	19.4	37.3	2.8	39.3	172.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -8.9%

LAC -10.0%

DEN +21.0%

DEN +31.7%

DEN +16.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	14.0	14.3	15.6	84.5	93.1	104.4
season	15.2	14.4		103.9	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		103.5	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.8	13.0	11.6	15.2	14.0
DEN	13.2	12.7	14.7	16.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zeljko Rebraca	14	14	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.05	4	-11	15	11.5	14.4	-2.86	12.9	14.5	-1.64
Corey Maggette	45	45	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.23	8	-15	23	13.1	14.7	-1.57	14.4	14.2	0.20
Vladimir Radmanovic	46	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-10	13	12.2	15.4	-3.17	14.0	14.4	-0.43
Quinton Ross	58	56	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.24	6	-13	19	13.7	14.4	-0.72	15.3	13.0	2.29
Elton Brand	84	81	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-5	3	14.3	12.3	2.03	14.8	12.1	2.64
Shaun Livingston	69	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	-2	-3	13.8	14.4	-0.57	13.9	15.0	-1.08
Chris Kaman	61	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	4	-15	14.9	12.6	2.28	13.7	15.2	-1.44
Cuttino Mobley	71	69	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.01	-23	16	-39	14.3	13.2	1.05	13.5	15.9	-2.35
Sam Cassell	67	69	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.27	-15	8	-23	15.1	11.9	3.20	14.8	13.1	1.67

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	80	82	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.28	14	-7	21	14.1	14.9	-0.80	14.8	10.9	3.91
Marcus Camby	60	60	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-7	21	15.1	13.0	2.13	15.9	11.2	4.70
Eduardo Najera	42	44	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-8	23	14.4	14.2	0.15	16.3	12.2	4.10
Carmelo Anthony	95	96	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.30	9	-2	11	14.4	12.2	2.23	13.9	14.9	-0.95
Earl Boykins	58	60	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	5	-3	14.5	13.9	0.63	12.9	15.5	-2.57
Greg Buckner	54	54	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	3	1	14.1	14.5	-0.46	14.3	13.6	0.76
Ruben Patterson	34	36	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.13	-4	11	-15	16.1	13.3	2.79	13.3	14.3	-1.07
Linas Kleiza	3	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	6	-5	9.0	14.4	-5.43	1.0	14.2	-13.23
Reggie Evans	53	53	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.10	-10	17	-27	13.1	15.5	-2.43	11.7	16.4	-4.64
Francisco Elson	26	28	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.05	-10	17	-27	12.5	14.9	-2.33	11.6	14.8	-3.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.72,0.64,0.56,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.57,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.59,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 79, NOH 88	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.59,0.69,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.85,0.98,1	93.1%
PHX 92, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.96,1	92.4%
CHI 88, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.61,0.85,0.89,0.96,1	92.1%