NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	97		Excitement	3.9 [1058]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +20.4%
Indiana Pacers	88		Comeback	1.0 [647]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (IND): -12.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2	0.19	0.03	0.01	15	67%	0.20	0	0.00	12	75%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.02	-0.05	17	58%	0.15	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	16	62%	0.12	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	150%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	46%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	14	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.01	7	83%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	83%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	10	60%	-0.03
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	15	56%	0.06	5	-0.09	9	67%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	60%	0.03	6	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.15	0.00	-0.03	14	39%	-0.02	6	-0.10	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.8	30.3	19.5	32.8	2.8	45.3	160.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +16.6%

NJN +10.3%

IND -0.4%

NJN +21.7%

NJN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	IND	NBA	NJN	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	16.4	15.6	107.8	98.9	104.4
season	15.7	16.0		102.1	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.7		100.8	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.1	16.0	13.1	19.2	15.8
IND	18.4	16.8	16.9	13.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	73	72	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.02	20	-11	31	15.2	18.5	-3.37	16.5	15.8	0.76
Jason Collins	63	64	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.17	23	-14	37	14.5	18.8	-4.25	17.0	14.8	2.14
Jason Kidd	80	76	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	2	5	15.7	16.3	-0.56	16.7	14.7	1.98
Nenad Krstic	65	62	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.29	3	6	-3	15.9	15.5	0.39	16.7	15.6	1.19
Richard Jefferson	82	81	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	5	-1	15.6	17.5	-1.87	16.3	17.5	-1.23
Clifford Robinson	46	46	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.40	-9	18	-27	17.5	14.0	3.52	15.4	17.4	-1.96
Lamond Murray	16	17	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	10	-11	17.9	15.3	2.60	16.4	16.4	0.04
Jacque Vaughn	22	24	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	11	-13	16.4	15.6	0.75	14.3	17.2	-2.86
John Thomas	3	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	9	-9	20.0	15.7	4.34	19.3	16.3	3.05

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Harrison	19	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-8	7	16.2	16.4	-0.22	14.7	16.1	-1.35
Scot Pollard	4	3	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.10	-7	-2	-5	22.7	16.1	6.67	13.0	15.9	-2.90
Sarunas Jasikevicius	26	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	-1	-7	16.8	16.2	0.55	15.1	16.1	-0.98
Danny Granger	58	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.32	5	-14	19	15.0	18.9	-3.92	17.2	13.3	3.91
Jeff Foster	20	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	1	-11	19.3	15.5	3.76	14.3	16.3	-2.07
Austin Croshere	76	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-9	9	15.7	20.4	-4.69	16.1	14.6	1.43
Jermaine O'Neal	56	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-10	11	16.3	16.5	-0.12	16.9	13.8	3.09
Anthony Johnson	63	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-8	7	16.2	16.8	-0.55	16.1	15.1	0.98
Stephen Jackson	78	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-5	1	16.1	18.6	-2.57	15.6	16.9	-1.26
Fred Jones	45	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.12	-20	11	-31	18.1	14.6	3.50	13.9	17.8	-3.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 94, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	95.8%
NYK 103, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
NJN 109, NYK 101	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0,0,0,0	95.7%