inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 91 Excitement9.5 [99] MVPJared Jeffries (WAS): +29.7%
Washington Wizards 94 Comeback6.4 [295] LVPLarry Hughes (WAS): -39.6%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andres Nocioni0.050,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.050.08-0.010.021269%0.091-0.04875%0.01
Lawrence Funderburke0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tyson Chandler-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,-0.04-0.050.01-0.011147%-0.011-0.02875%-0.02
Antonio Davis-0.050,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.00743%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Adrian Griffin-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.09,-0.09-0.00-0.090.00853%0.061-0.151100%0.01
Othella Harrington-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.03-0.0130%-0.1000.0020%-0.04
Ben Gordon-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.12-0.03-0.0010%-0.025-0.1200%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.160,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,-0.05,-0.16,-0.160.03-0.180.011563%-0.023-0.145100%0.02
Chris Duhon-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.19-0.05-0.18-0.05542%-0.002-0.182100%0.04
Jannero Pargo-0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.25-0.06-0.20-0.011439%-0.182-0.0600%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.30.300.080.17-0.05592%0.321-0.03367%-0.01
Michael Ruffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.060.001100%0.0800.001100%0.02
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.020.021751%0.042-0.05333%-0.09
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.00-0.13-0.01665%-0.111-0.01837%-0.22
Juan Dixon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.05-0.00933%-0.111-0.02367%-0.02
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.15,-0.12,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.29-0.29-0.15-0.15-0.012435%-0.271-0.02786%0.03
Larry Hughes0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.18,-0.4,-0.4-0.40-0.09-0.300.002146%-0.264-0.144100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game32.33.333.018.026.02.840.3155.7
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +13.8%
CHI -16.7%
WAS +5.9%
WAS +45.2%
WAS +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIWASNBACHIWASNBA
this game15.315.715.596.8102.2104.0
season15.114.7100.1104.7
opponent15.515.4105.598.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI12.316.317.415.915.3
WAS15.017.217.713.515.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Othella Harrington24240.23-0.730.960.037-101715.015.4-0.4016.515.41.12
Lawrence Funderburke15140.18-0.680.86-0.099-122116.315.11.1518.415.23.16
Andres Nocioni72710.06-0.560.61-0.002-5715.116.1-1.0416.313.52.85
Adrian Griffin3634-0.20-0.300.100.09-107-1716.714.42.3515.915.50.38
Jannero Pargo3533-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.476-91514.715.6-0.9316.215.40.89
Chris Duhon4442-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.330-3316.014.71.2814.316.9-2.60
Ben Gordon3233-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.07-96-1513.616.2-2.6315.715.70.04
Antonio Davis6261-0.530.03-0.56-0.38-52-714.716.4-1.7314.617.7-3.07
Kirk Hinrich8080-0.540.04-0.59-0.40-52-715.712.92.7815.814.71.06
Tyson Chandler7068-0.730.23-0.96-0.44-107-1715.415.00.4015.416.5-1.12

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brendan Haywood70720.67-0.170.830.554-1515.715.50.1715.215.7-0.56
Larry Hughes80820.66-0.160.830.467-41115.417.6-2.2015.215.7-0.52
Gilbert Arenas85860.61-0.110.710.407-41115.320.3-4.9915.315.7-0.49
Antawn Jamison80800.58-0.080.660.445-2715.218.6-3.3515.315.20.10
Jared Jeffries45450.170.33-0.160.55-1316-2914.816.5-1.7516.214.51.65
Michael Ruffin48500.060.44-0.38-0.2310-71716.514.71.7714.915.7-0.85
Etan Thomas1718-0.060.56-0.63-0.0603-317.715.22.4915.815.20.59
Juan Dixon2829-0.080.58-0.66-0.05-14-516.415.41.0314.815.5-0.68
Steve Blake78-0.110.61-0.710.01-47-1120.315.34.9915.715.30.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.18,0.28,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.29,0.43,0.53,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 81, UTA 840.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.24,0.39,0.25,0.28,0.33,0.58,192.2%
SAS 93, POR 960.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.39,0.55,0.58,191.6%
POR 91, NYK 920.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.74,191.6%