NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	104		Excitement	6.0 [647]		MVP	Rodney Rogers (PHI): +23.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	115		Comeback	3.6 [711]		LVP	Carlos Arroyo (DET): -7.0%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Wallace	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.09	0.03	17	67%	0.20	2	-0.05	9	78%	-0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.00	0.09	-0.01	15	71%	0.25	7	-0.15	4	100%	0.04
Rasheed Wallace	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	12	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	65%	0.04	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.02
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.04	0.02	14	58%	0.02	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.12	0.01	8	83%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.05	0.04	26	64%	0.19	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	4	112%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	6	81%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.01	0.07	-0.03	19	45%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	0.01	9	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	86%	0.04	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.8	34.3	17.4	25.6	3.8	39.0	146.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +39.1%

DET -3.0%

PHI +0.3%

PHI +19.6%

DET -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	19.2	14.5	15.5	122.4	133.7	104.0
season	16.7	13.9		103.5	101.1
opponent	15.8	15.9		101.9	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.7	22.3	21.2	18.3	19.2
PHI	15.0	13.7	14.8	14.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	70	70	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-14	17	18.5	22.6	-4.11	14.5	14.6	-0.08
Darvin Ham	2	3	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-8	5	26.5	19.0	7.46	8.3	14.7	-6.39
Carlos Arroyo	8	8	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-2	-7	23.0	18.8	4.18	12.2	14.7	-2.48
Antonio McDyess	27	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-4	-3	20.7	18.5	2.13	14.9	14.3	0.65
Rasheed Wallace	62	60	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-2	-7	18.6	20.9	-2.27	14.6	14.2	0.44
Lindsey Hunter	12	13	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	0	-11	22.7	18.6	4.12	17.0	14.1	2.95
Ben Wallace	79	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-8	5	19.0	21.8	-2.82	14.5	14.8	-0.36
Tayshaun Prince	81	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-4	-3	19.1	20.7	-1.61	14.4	17.0	-2.62
Richard Hamilton	84	85	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.20	-9	-2	-7	19.0	35.0	-15.98	14.5	18.0	-3.54

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Iverson	86	85	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	14.5	0.0	14.50	19.2	0.0	19.21
Andre Iguodala	61	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-1	13	14.5	14.4	0.08	18.7	20.5	-1.80
Rodney Rogers	32	30	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.07	15	-4	19	13.7	15.0	-1.24	21.3	18.1	3.28
Kyle Korver	60	61	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.24	4	7	-3	14.2	15.1	-0.83	18.4	21.4	-3.01
Samuel Dalembert	63	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.34	-2	13	-15	14.8	13.7	1.10	18.7	20.7	-2.03
Willie Green	35	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	4	3	14.3	14.6	-0.26	21.6	17.7	3.96
Marc Jackson	20	20	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.08	10	1	9	14.8	14.4	0.39	21.8	18.4	3.38
Chris Webber	57	58	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.16	-1	12	-13	14.5	14.5	0.03	17.8	22.2	-4.41
Aaron McKie	16	16	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	12	-13	15.7	14.2	1.46	19.4	19.2	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.43,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 97, ATL 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.69,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.93,1,1,1	93.2%
PHX 95, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.34,0.43,0.63,0.73,0.85,0.94,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	92.6%
LAC 86, ORL 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	92.6%