NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	81		Excitement	5.5 [701]		MVP	Chris Webber (SAC): +4.9%
Sacramento Kings	87		Comeback	1.3 [981]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIN): -17.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.04	3	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ervin Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	7	56%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	-0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	9	47%	-0.02	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	15	38%	-0.06	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	18	50%	0.02	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.16	-0.02	-0.01	15	41%	-0.03	5	-0.14	7	86%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	21	64%	0.13	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	61%	0.11	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	12	50%	0.05	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	10	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	0.00	-0.02	9	16%	-0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	4.3	33.1	17.6	24.5	4.3	40.4	149.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +13.6%

SAC +10.9%

MIN -6.7%

SAC +34.8%

MIN -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	SAC	NBA	MIN	SAC	NBA
this game	15.6	15.7	15.7	88.0	94.6	100.5
season	15.6	14.7		103.2	106.9
opponent	15.6	16.1		102.0	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.2	16.5	14.3	14.5	15.6
SAC	14.1	16.2	16.3	16.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	6	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-5	4	17.3	15.5	1.83	11.2	16.0	-4.83
Ervin Johnson	42	42	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-5	4	15.5	15.7	-0.22	16.9	14.6	2.29
Darrick Martin	6	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-3	0	15.7	15.6	0.05	15.1	15.7	-0.59
Mark Madsen	12	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	0	-6	16.8	15.4	1.40	14.5	15.9	-1.36
Trenton Hassell	67	65	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-6	6	15.0	17.4	-2.44	16.2	14.5	1.65
Sam Cassell	81	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-4	2	15.7	14.9	0.81	15.5	16.9	-1.42
Gary Trent	28	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-2	-2	18.4	14.4	4.04	16.8	15.2	1.63
Latrell Sprewell	82	85	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-6	6	15.5	17.0	-1.55	15.4	18.6	-3.12
Kevin Garnett	89	89	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.35	-2	-4	2	15.1	31.0	-15.90	15.4	23.0	-7.56
Fred Hoiberg	47	46	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.26	-11	5	-16	15.6	15.7	-0.09	15.4	16.0	-0.59

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Peeler	62	63	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-6	18	15.4	16.2	-0.76	15.9	15.1	0.80
Mike Bibby	84	86	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.26	12	-6	18	16.0	12.6	3.35	16.0	10.0	6.01
Brad Miller	69	69	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.26	11	-5	16	15.3	16.9	-1.64	16.1	14.3	1.81
Chris Webber	68	69	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.17	4	2	2	15.9	15.1	0.81	15.8	15.0	0.83
Peja Stojakovic	75	72	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.27	-4	10	-14	15.7	15.8	-0.17	15.4	16.3	-0.87
Vlade Divac	46	46	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	7	-8	15.9	15.5	0.37	14.6	16.6	-1.98
Doug Christie	56	55	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.21	-4	10	-14	15.7	15.7	-0.06	15.0	16.6	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 96, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.9%
PHX 95, MIN 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.65,0.82,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.85,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.92,1,1,1,1	93.4%
BOS 96, NOH 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.77,0.74,0.93,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.98,1,1	93.3%