NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	84		Excitement	7.6 [293]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (DEN): +21.7%
Denver Nuggets	82		Comeback	2.2 [267]		LVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): -39.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Hoiberg	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.04	0.11	-0.01	8	56%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	10	70%	0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.02	10	56%	0.07	4	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Darrick Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.02	-0.02	17	55%	0.05	5	-0.10	15	73%	-0.02
Latrell Sprewell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.03,-0.08	-0.09	0.02	0.01	16	38%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.11
Ervin Johnson	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	40%	-0.04	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04
Michael Olowokandi	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.13,0.29,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.08	0.02	20	70%	0.27	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	10	46%	-0.02	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	7	45%	-0.06	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.03
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.01	12	38%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.15	-0.00	16	37%	-0.21	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.23,-0.27,-0.24,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.33,-0.33,-0.36,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	-0.30	-0.10	-0.01	16	6%	-0.26	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.9	4.4	30.9	19.8	33.3	3.5	36.3	161.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +78.2%

DEN -3.7%

DEN -27.0%

MIN +0.6%

MIN +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DEN	NBA	MIN	DEN	NBA
this game	15.3	15.7	15.7	90.3	88.2	100.5
season	15.6	14.9		103.2	101.6
opponent	15.4	16.1		101.1	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.5	16.3	14.3	17.6	15.3
DEN	17.2	17.2	12.4	16.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	85	85	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.42	12	-10	22	15.0	19.0	-4.05	15.8	14.2	1.55
Ervin Johnson	70	70	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-8	18	15.2	15.5	-0.29	16.0	14.7	1.23
Fred Hoiberg	52	55	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	0	2	16.0	14.4	1.67	15.9	15.4	0.50
Trenton Hassell	73	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	-6	14	15.1	16.1	-1.02	15.5	16.4	-0.92
Latrell Sprewell	77	76	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.37	0	2	-2	15.3	15.5	-0.24	15.4	16.7	-1.27
Sam Cassell	71	69	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.32	-4	6	-10	15.4	15.0	0.45	16.0	14.8	1.18
Darrick Martin	6	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	2	-2	10.8	15.6	-4.78	15.7	15.7	0.05
Mark Madsen	4	4	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	8	-14	21.2	15.0	6.22	22.0	15.4	6.62
Gary Trent	4	4	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	6	-10	16.7	15.2	1.51	6.5	16.1	-9.58
Michael Olowokandi	23	23	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	10	-18	15.5	15.2	0.29	14.7	16.0	-1.23

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	23	20	0.20	-0.70	0.91	-0.06	9	-11	20	14.0	16.2	-2.16	17.1	14.8	2.36
Chris Andersen	10	9	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.06	7	-9	16	15.3	15.7	-0.41	18.1	15.0	3.11
Michael Doleac	14	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-3	4	16.6	15.5	1.15	16.9	15.0	1.89
Francisco Elson	20	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	4	-10	18.7	14.8	3.93	14.2	15.6	-1.37
Earl Boykins	59	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.42	6	-8	14	15.4	16.1	-0.66	16.6	13.4	3.27
Andre Miller	72	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-7	12	16.3	13.6	2.64	15.2	15.5	-0.28
Marcus Camby	81	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-1	0	15.2	18.5	-3.25	15.2	15.7	-0.48
Carmelo Anthony	65	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	12	-26	15.6	15.7	-0.07	13.8	18.9	-5.00
Voshon Lenard	62	65	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.35	-9	7	-16	15.4	16.2	-0.79	15.2	15.5	-0.28
Nene	59	60	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.44	-8	6	-14	15.5	16.0	-0.53	14.9	16.0	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.39,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.38,0.28,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.04,0.09,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 96, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.02,0	94.1%
SAC 113, MIN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.2,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.05,0.11,0.01,0,0	93.8%
LAC 86, ORL 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.0%