NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	108		Excitement	3.8 [1038]		MVP	Jeff Foster (IND): +6.3%
Boston Celtics	85		Comeback	1.4 [405]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -10.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Foster	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	78%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	12	66%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	4	70%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.02	0.02	14	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	20%	-0.05
Fred Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	12	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	39%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	17	42%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	79%	0.03	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	7	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	3	83%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	12	50%	0.00	4	-0.08	8	75%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.20	0.01	-0.09	17	26%	-0.04	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	4.5	34.2	17.8	29.7	3.0	31.2	149.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +27.9%

BOS -3.3%

IND +11.0%

IND +10.6%

IND +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	16.7	14.9	15.7	118.7	93.4	100.5
season	16.7	14.4		101.1	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.7		102.1	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.5	15.8	17.7	15.8	16.7
BOS	13.8	17.6	13.6	14.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	53	52	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.24	25	-2	27	16.8	16.6	0.22	16.1	13.4	2.67
Fred Jones	53	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.24	23	0	23	16.2	17.5	-1.31	15.8	13.8	1.94
Jermaine O'Neal	51	53	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	12	-1	17.3	16.0	1.31	14.5	15.4	-0.87
Jonathan Bender	35	34	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.25	18	5	13	15.5	17.5	-2.03	16.9	13.7	3.19
Anthony Johnson	33	31	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.26	18	5	13	17.0	16.6	0.41	17.5	13.5	4.00
Jamaal Tinsley	45	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	18	-13	17.4	16.0	1.40	13.8	16.1	-2.28
Metta World Peace	56	57	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	18	-13	17.5	15.5	2.03	13.7	16.9	-3.19
Jeff Foster	41	43	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.13	10	13	-3	18.2	15.6	2.61	15.0	14.8	0.25
Reggie Miller	38	40	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	23	-23	17.5	16.2	1.31	13.8	15.8	-1.94
Kenny Anderson	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	13.6	17.3	-3.64	12.4	15.3	-2.87
Scot Pollard	13	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	13.6	17.3	-3.64	12.4	15.3	-2.87
Austin Croshere	24	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	23	-23	14.5	17.5	-2.98	14.2	15.1	-0.96

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Hunter	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-23	23	12.2	15.2	-2.92	12.7	17.2	-4.52
Chris Mihm	28	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.11	-5	-18	13	13.7	15.5	-1.78	15.3	17.4	-2.04
Marcus Banks	27	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.09	-8	-15	7	15.7	14.6	1.13	16.2	17.0	-0.81
Walter McCarty	62	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-19	15	14.0	16.9	-2.86	17.1	16.1	0.97
Jiri Welsch	39	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	-12	1	15.3	14.6	0.69	15.7	17.5	-1.76
Ricky Davis	66	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.12	-14	-9	-5	15.2	14.2	0.93	16.9	16.2	0.68
Jumaine Jones	28	29	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.18	-18	-5	-13	17.0	14.0	2.96	16.7	16.8	-0.12
Chucky Atkins	64	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-8	-7	14.6	15.7	-1.13	17.0	16.2	0.81
Mark Blount	63	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	-5	-13	15.5	13.7	1.78	17.4	15.3	2.04
Paul Pierce	70	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.17	-22	-1	-21	14.7	15.5	-0.73	17.4	14.6	2.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, UTA 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
MIN 96, NJN 75	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
LAC 85, DAL 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%