NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	90		Excitement	5.9 [618]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +13.9%
Indiana Pacers	103		Comeback	4.5 [467]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -25.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.02	0.04	7	86%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jumaine Jones	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	14	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.04
Ricky Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	10	35%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Jiri Welsch	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	8	47%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Mark Blount	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	0.01	7	50%	-0.04	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.25	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.25,-0.26,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.17	-0.09	-0.00	18	52%	-0.09	7	-0.16	16	81%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.03	0.10	-0.01	6	62%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.04	-0.02	10	48%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.12	-0.02	0.08	11	77%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	5	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.03	13	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	14	43%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	10	32%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	20	46%	-0.04	4	-0.13	8	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	28.3	16.7	29.6	2.4	33.5	137.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +37.5%

BOS -22.8%

IND +28.5%

IND +5.7%

IND +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	13.7	16.8	15.7	94.7	109.6	100.5
season	14.4	16.7		99.5	101.1
opponent	15.7	15.9		94.7	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.2	13.2	14.0	14.4	13.7
IND	16.8	17.6	16.7	16.2	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	84	81	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-11	9	13.7	13.3	0.44	17.1	14.8	2.30
Ricky Davis	57	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-11	9	13.3	14.2	-0.96	18.2	14.8	3.39
Chucky Atkins	77	75	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-10	7	13.7	13.6	0.13	17.0	16.3	0.71
Walter McCarty	76	75	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.06	-2	-11	9	13.8	13.2	0.63	17.3	14.8	2.49
Chris Mihm	8	9	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.11	-7	-6	-1	11.2	13.9	-2.64	14.4	17.1	-2.64
Marcus Banks	18	19	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	-3	-7	13.6	13.7	-0.13	16.3	17.0	-0.71
Paul Pierce	70	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	-2	-9	14.1	12.4	1.71	16.5	17.9	-1.43
Jiri Welsch	62	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	2	-17	13.7	13.5	0.18	15.9	18.6	-2.74
Jumaine Jones	23	24	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.14	-13	0	-13	13.3	13.8	-0.47	15.3	17.3	-2.01

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	36	35	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.25	20	-7	27	17.3	16.6	0.73	15.0	12.9	2.07
Austin Croshere	45	46	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.10	23	-10	33	17.3	16.4	0.84	14.0	13.3	0.65
Fred Jones	60	61	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.06	22	-9	31	17.2	16.2	0.98	13.7	13.6	0.12
Jonathan Bender	53	53	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.12	16	-3	19	17.4	16.1	1.34	13.3	14.1	-0.77
Al Harrington	69	68	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.24	11	2	9	16.8	17.0	-0.18	14.1	12.5	1.60
Scot Pollard	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	13	-13	0.0	16.8	-16.83	9.0	13.7	-4.71
Reggie Miller	44	45	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.01	-6	19	-25	16.4	17.2	-0.88	13.7	13.6	0.09
Jeff Foster	36	37	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.09	-10	23	-33	16.1	17.3	-1.12	13.1	14.0	-0.95
Jermaine O'Neal	69	69	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.15	-4	17	-21	16.5	17.8	-1.27	13.6	13.9	-0.36
Jamaal Tinsley	58	60	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.13	-7	20	-27	16.6	17.3	-0.73	12.9	15.0	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.44,0.29,0.34,0.51,0.71,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 91, GSW 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.7%
OKC 89, POR 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.86,0.88,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.6%
MIL 99, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.41,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.66,0.75,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.5%