NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	7.1 [380]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +6.6%
San Antonio Spurs	85		Comeback	1.9 [255]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -50.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	8	62%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.05	0.01	24	54%	0.11	4	-0.11	8	75%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	8	39%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.01	0.01	16	41%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.12	-0.00	10	36%	-0.05	3	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.01	17	55%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	78%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	10	80%	0.14	7	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	2	75%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.06	0.00	6	29%	-0.11	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.18,-0.24,-0.39,-0.51	-0.51	-0.19	-0.33	-0.01	19	40%	-0.25	4	-0.25	10	30%	-0.18

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.6	30.2	17.7	28.2	3.4	38.4	147.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +3.0%

NJN +18.1%

SAS -10.0%

NJN +33.4%

NJN +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	SAS	NBA	NJN	SAS	NBA
this game	16.6	15.6	15.5	98.9	93.4	101.6
season	15.0	15.7		101.1	102.5
opponent	15.4	15.9		96.9	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.8	15.7	17.5	17.3	16.6
SAS	16.9	16.3	16.0	13.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	51	52	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.29	4	-2	6	15.8	17.6	-1.78	15.6	15.6	0.07
Jason Collins	63	65	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	-1	4	16.7	16.4	0.27	15.1	17.0	-1.90
Rodney Rogers	35	36	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.01	13	-11	24	14.6	17.9	-3.26	16.9	14.8	2.13
Jason Kidd	76	79	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.44	-2	4	-6	17.1	13.7	3.39	15.5	16.4	-0.94
Kenyon Martin	58	61	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.46	-3	5	-8	17.2	15.3	1.91	15.4	16.1	-0.74
Kerry Kittles	37	40	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.29	-2	4	-6	17.6	15.8	1.78	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Richard Jefferson	72	74	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.30	-5	7	-12	16.7	16.1	0.65	15.4	16.4	-0.99
Anthony Johnson	12	12	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	-2	6	13.7	17.1	-3.39	16.4	15.5	0.94
Dikembe Mutombo	36	36	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	4	-6	17.1	16.2	0.83	16.3	15.1	1.16

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Kerr	2	3	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.04	3	-5	8	8.0	15.8	-7.78	8.0	16.9	-8.89
Kevin Willis	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.02	1	-3	4	8.0	15.8	-7.78	11.5	16.7	-5.21
Speedy Claxton	14	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	4	-10	16.7	15.4	1.31	12.5	17.4	-4.86
Malik Rose	36	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	5	-12	17.3	14.5	2.81	14.6	17.9	-3.30
Stephen Jackson	76	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.50	8	-10	18	15.6	15.7	-0.07	17.5	12.9	4.52
Bruce Bowen	48	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	7	-16	16.6	14.5	2.07	16.3	17.0	-0.67
David Robinson	63	59	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-6	10	15.4	16.0	-0.57	17.2	15.3	1.86
Tim Duncan	81	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.42	0	-2	2	15.2	19.1	-3.93	17.2	11.7	5.49
Tony Parker	77	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.52	2	-4	6	15.4	16.7	-1.31	17.6	11.7	5.86
Manu Ginobili	56	56	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	4	-10	15.1	16.5	-1.43	15.9	17.7	-1.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.22,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.1,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.25,0.16,0.32,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 97, SAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.34,0.21,0.13,0.08,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.08,0	92.7%
PHI 92, IND 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.06,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.22,0.57,0.09,0	92.7%
PHI 102, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.25,0.36,0.22,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.16,0	92.3%