NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	110		Excitement	2.7 [1193]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +14.8%
Dallas Mavericks	132		Comeback	1.9 [441]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -5.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	-0.00	-0.01	15	71%	0.13	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.08	0.01	-0.09	10	45%	0.04	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.07	6	86%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	67%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	19	60%	-0.00	2	-0.02	14	79%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Keon Clark	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	1	17%	-0.04	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Mike Bibby	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	10	41%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.01	-0.02	14	75%	0.17	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.25	0.00	0.12	19	82%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	50%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.00	0.05	11	79%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	22	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	12	62%	0.03	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.10	0.00	-0.10	4	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	5	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.8	3.6	28.4	17.7	28.3	3.6	32.7	146.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +41.9%

SAC -2.4%

DAL +6.7%

DAL +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DAL	NBA	SAC	DAL	NBA
this game	13.2	14.5	15.5	105.8	126.9	101.6
season	14.0	15.1		104.4	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.7		102.0	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.4	14.6	13.0	11.6	13.2
DAL	12.3	12.0	16.0	18.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wallace	15	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-34	46	10.1	13.7	-3.61	19.7	13.5	6.24
Lawrence Funderburke	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-29	36	9.5	13.7	-4.11	20.2	13.7	6.44
Scot Pollard	15	16	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.35	12	-34	46	10.1	13.7	-3.61	19.7	13.5	6.24
Hedo Turkoglu	35	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.20	-8	-14	6	11.9	13.9	-1.97	17.1	13.1	4.08
Keon Clark	29	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.12	-11	-11	0	13.4	13.1	0.31	13.3	14.9	-1.66
Vlade Divac	32	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	-11	0	13.9	12.9	1.03	12.8	15.2	-2.40
Doug Christie	68	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-16	10	13.5	12.7	0.81	13.7	15.9	-2.21
Chris Webber	67	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.22	-18	-4	-14	13.6	12.6	0.93	13.3	16.5	-3.18
Peja Stojakovic	71	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.24	-19	-3	-16	13.8	12.0	1.83	13.7	16.3	-2.61
Mike Bibby	68	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.25	-21	-1	-20	13.8	12.1	1.78	13.3	16.5	-3.21
Jim Jackson	44	44	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.10	-17	-5	-12	13.2	13.2	0.01	15.5	13.7	1.82
Bobby Jackson	65	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.48	-30	8	-38	13.6	12.6	1.01	14.0	15.1	-1.10

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Van Exel	66	67	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.49	37	-15	52	13.1	16.9	-3.86	13.9	12.0	1.94
Michael Finley	88	89	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.50	34	-12	46	13.5	19.7	-6.24	13.7	10.1	3.61
Raef LaFrentz	47	47	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.41	28	-6	34	13.3	15.4	-2.06	13.4	13.1	0.37
Dirk Nowitzki	66	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.28	23	-1	24	13.7	15.8	-2.08	13.8	12.1	1.78
Raja Bell	62	61	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.01	13	9	4	15.1	13.5	1.63	12.6	14.0	-1.41
Steve Nash	55	55	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.18	14	8	6	13.0	16.1	-3.16	14.0	12.3	1.69
Eduardo Najera	41	42	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.09	6	16	-10	13.7	15.0	-1.26	14.1	12.6	1.47
Walt Williams	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	29	-36	21.1	13.4	7.71	10.5	13.6	-3.07
Shawn Bradley	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	34	-46	19.7	13.5	6.24	10.1	13.7	-3.61
Evan Eschmeyer	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	26	-30	11.0	14.6	-3.57	7.7	13.4	-5.72
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	22	20	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.41	-14	36	-50	17.4	13.7	3.67	10.3	13.9	-3.62
Adrian Griffin	40	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.14	-8	30	-38	17.5	12.6	4.96	12.4	13.7	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.82,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 91, SAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
WAS 115, PHI 132	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
LAC 91, MIN 116	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%