NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	91		Excitement	2.0 [1292]		MVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): +11.2%
San Antonio Spurs	107		Comeback	1.5 [1059]		LVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): -6.5%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasho Nesterovic	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	0.00	0.07	10	80%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Garbajosa	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Morris Peterson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	5	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Uros Slokar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Joey Graham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	7	56%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	16	53%	-0.01	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	14	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	5	9%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	0.00	0.03	16	39%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.00	0.03	15	71%	0.12	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.01	0.02	-0.10	11	48%	0.11	2	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.07	19	60%	0.05	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	8	78%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.7	30.1	15.4	23.4	2.3	28.7	123.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +40.1%

SAS +8.0%

SAS +4.7%

TOR -1.5%

TOR -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	SAS	NBA	TOR	SAS	NBA
this game	14.1	16.4	15.4	96.8	112.6	104.5
season	15.2	16.2		104.7	107.5
opponent	15.4	15.4		98.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.5	14.5	15.2	10.5	14.1
SAS	14.8	14.8	17.5	18.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Humphries	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	8.3	14.3	-5.96	21.0	16.2	4.79
Uros Slokar	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	8.3	14.3	-5.96	21.0	16.2	4.79
Morris Peterson	22	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-14	12	16.1	13.5	2.59	18.8	15.5	3.26
Joey Graham	22	24	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-15	14	13.1	14.4	-1.27	16.8	16.2	0.64
Juan Dixon	44	43	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-16	16	12.1	15.8	-3.70	16.9	15.9	1.05
T.J. Ford	69	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-10	4	14.2	14.0	0.20	16.5	16.0	0.53
Jorge Garbajosa	42	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.27	-18	2	-20	16.5	12.2	4.24	16.0	16.6	-0.64
Anthony Parker	24	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.17	-15	-1	-14	16.5	13.3	3.21	13.7	17.2	-3.46
Rasho Nesterovic	47	46	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.28	-19	3	-22	16.0	12.2	3.74	15.3	17.3	-2.00
Chris Bosh	76	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-14	12	14.1	14.2	-0.07	16.3	16.7	-0.38
Jose Calderon	53	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	-9	2	12.6	16.1	-3.53	16.3	16.4	-0.08
Andrea Bargnani	65	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-4	-8	13.1	16.4	-3.29	16.3	16.4	-0.08

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	67	67	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.24	25	-9	34	15.9	17.5	-1.67	14.9	12.3	2.59
Michael Finley	53	53	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	10	-4	17.0	15.6	1.41	13.3	15.1	-1.84
Tony Parker	67	67	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.16	17	-1	18	16.7	15.6	1.06	14.7	12.6	2.07
Manu Ginobili	49	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	2	12	15.7	17.0	-1.33	13.9	14.3	-0.44
Francisco Elson	54	55	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.18	2	14	-12	16.0	16.8	-0.83	14.0	14.3	-0.26
Bruce Bowen	45	44	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.07	10	6	4	15.7	17.0	-1.27	15.1	13.2	1.89
Robert Horry	40	39	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.10	10	6	4	16.4	16.3	0.16	14.5	13.8	0.74
Jacque Vaughn	23	20	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	13	-10	17.8	15.9	1.94	12.5	14.5	-1.98
Fabricio Oberto	13	11	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	13	-10	17.1	16.2	0.83	14.8	14.0	0.81
Brent Barry	32	32	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.13	6	10	-4	15.8	16.6	-0.82	15.6	13.3	2.30
Matt Bonner	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	24	-32	18.8	15.9	2.95	9.8	15.0	-5.17
Beno Udrih	16	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	24	-32	15.8	16.5	-0.66	11.2	14.7	-3.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 82, SAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.75,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	97.2%
LAL 86, DAL 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
DET 89, SEA 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%