NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	120		Excitement	3.4 [1100]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +19.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Comeback	1.1 [816]		LVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): -9.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.19	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.21	0.01	0.03	10	100%	0.21	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Robert Horry	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.01	-0.04	12	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.01	-0.02	18	59%	0.10	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.01
Devean George	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	7	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Samaki Walker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.09	-0.00	0.09	21	64%	0.04	2	-0.04	8	75%	-0.00
Jannero Pargo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	7	14%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	40%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	7	62%	0.05	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	9	59%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.03	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	-0.08	16	40%	-0.00	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	23	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.01	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.6	32.7	20.7	28.6	3.3	27.4	141.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +42.6%

MIN -1.0%

MIN -2.9%

LAL +14.0%

MIN -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.3	15.5	15.5	127.7	96.8	101.6
season	15.4	14.9		105.0	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.1		102.3	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.0	12.5	16.4	16.2	15.3
MIN	13.5	18.2	15.5	15.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	68	68	0.65	-0.15	0.79	-0.50	39	-9	48	15.1	15.7	-0.64	15.9	14.6	1.23
Derek Fisher	76	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.16	27	3	24	14.7	17.5	-2.76	15.6	15.4	0.18
Devean George	65	64	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.41	33	-3	36	15.8	14.0	1.88	15.9	14.7	1.18
Kobe Bryant	77	78	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.34	29	1	28	15.1	16.2	-1.11	15.7	14.7	1.04
Shaquille O'Neal	70	70	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.37	26	4	22	16.3	12.2	4.05	15.7	15.0	0.77
Samaki Walker	10	9	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	31	-32	15.9	15.2	0.71	17.1	15.4	1.74
Slava Medvedenko	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	29	-28	13.2	15.4	-2.18	12.2	15.7	-3.44
Kareem Rush	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	30	-30	13.9	15.4	-1.52	12.9	15.8	-2.91
Mark Madsen	31	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	34	-38	13.5	16.1	-2.61	14.6	16.0	-1.39
Brian Shaw	47	47	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.34	9	21	-12	15.0	15.5	-0.45	15.1	15.9	-0.79
Jannero Pargo	12	11	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.13	-9	39	-48	18.5	14.8	3.71	14.8	15.6	-0.82

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Wilks	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-28	26	12.6	15.7	-3.10	12.7	15.4	-2.78
Loren Woods	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-31	32	10.0	15.7	-5.66	9.3	15.5	-6.13
Joe Smith	8	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-30	30	12.9	15.8	-2.91	13.9	15.4	-1.52
Kendall Gill	47	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-28	26	14.3	16.8	-2.51	15.1	15.5	-0.35
Rod Strickland	24	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.34	-15	-15	0	16.7	15.1	1.63	14.0	15.7	-1.78
Gary Trent	19	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.19	-10	-20	10	14.9	15.7	-0.81	11.9	16.2	-4.33
Rasho Nesterovic	55	54	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.29	-15	-15	0	15.4	15.7	-0.34	16.6	13.4	3.20
Marc Jackson	27	27	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.13	-17	-13	-4	16.6	15.1	1.43	13.2	16.1	-2.87
Kevin Garnett	83	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.26	-22	-8	-14	15.6	14.9	0.71	15.9	10.7	5.14
Troy Hudson	71	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.33	-25	-5	-20	15.4	16.0	-0.55	16.0	13.3	2.71
Anthony Peeler	49	49	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	-16	2	16.9	14.0	2.83	15.2	15.3	-0.09
Wally Szczerbiak	75	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.36	-29	-1	-28	15.6	15.2	0.39	15.8	13.2	2.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 122, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
TOR 101, CHI 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.2,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
MIN 107, UTA 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%