NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	95		Excitement	7.9 [264]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (DAL): +33.6%
Dallas Mavericks	107		Comeback	2.0 [700]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -22.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.09,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.03	0.14	-0.00	13	57%	0.20	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.05	-0.02	16	53%	0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	6	42%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	63%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.02
Jeff McInnis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	12	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.02	-0.11	0.03	13	62%	0.05	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.22	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.10	-0.01	12	39%	-0.06	4	-0.16	4	75%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.14	0.19	-0.00	15	76%	0.41	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.12	0.20	-0.00	21	65%	0.39	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Steve Nash	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.05	0.03	19	52%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Raja Bell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	5	39%	-0.06	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.04
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.06	0.02	14	44%	-0.02	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.3	33.6	17.6	30.2	3.7	38.2	153.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +25.9%

DAL +14.3%

DAL +6.0%

DAL +3.3%

DAL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	16.6	14.3	15.5	102.2	115.1	101.6
season	16.0	15.1		104.3	108.6
opponent	15.3	15.7		102.0	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	15.7	17.5	18.1	16.6
DAL	15.8	12.5	13.8	15.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	15	15	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.01	3	-15	18	17.4	16.5	0.93	11.8	14.8	-3.03
Zach Randolph	74	72	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.05	2	-14	16	16.8	16.1	0.72	14.5	13.8	0.75
Qyntel Woods	1	0	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	10.0	16.7	-6.70	0.0	14.3	-14.34
Arvydas Sabonis	62	63	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.21	4	-16	20	16.2	17.4	-1.19	14.7	13.6	1.10
Jeff McInnis	9	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-6	0	15.9	16.7	-0.81	8.3	15.0	-6.65
Ruben Patterson	46	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-4	-4	16.5	16.8	-0.29	14.6	14.1	0.44
Damon Stoudamire	84	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.18	-6	-6	0	16.7	15.9	0.81	15.0	8.3	6.65
Scottie Pippen	38	38	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	4	-20	16.0	17.1	-1.05	14.5	14.2	0.31
Bonzi Wells	55	58	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.04	-19	7	-26	17.3	15.7	1.54	13.6	15.5	-1.92
Rasheed Wallace	81	83	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.21	-14	2	-16	16.7	16.2	0.43	14.7	11.5	3.19

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	88	86	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.26	17	-5	22	14.4	12.8	1.63	16.7	15.6	1.14
Steve Nash	88	88	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.15	14	-2	16	14.5	11.0	3.53	16.6	17.2	-0.61
Dirk Nowitzki	90	88	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-1	14	14.1	23.0	-8.94	17.0	9.2	7.85
Nick Van Exel	61	60	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-4	20	13.8	15.5	-1.71	17.0	16.0	1.01
Shawn Bradley	42	41	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	4	4	14.2	14.5	-0.32	17.9	15.6	2.24
Raja Bell	1	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	12	-12	0.0	14.5	-14.50	11.5	16.7	-5.24
Raef LaFrentz	27	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.04	-1	13	-14	15.0	14.1	0.98	18.0	16.0	1.95
Eduardo Najera	62	64	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.08	-2	14	-16	14.7	13.6	1.15	15.3	19.6	-4.36
Adrian Griffin	6	7	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	17	-22	17.2	14.1	3.02	8.6	17.3	-8.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.77,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 108, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.56,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.78,0.83,1	92.7%
DEN 94, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.53,0.64,0.86,0.99,1	92.6%
PHX 102, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.61,0.63,0.91,0.85,1	91.7%