NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	97		Excitement	4.9 [825]		MVP	Todd MacCulloch (NJN): +7.3%
New Jersey Nets	104		Comeback	1.0 [924]		LVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): -12.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	19	53%	0.02	2	-0.04	13	54%	-0.05
Tony Battie	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Delk	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Antoine Walker	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	0.05	23	52%	0.01	3	-0.10	6	83%	-0.01
Kenny Anderson	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.06	-0.05	0.02	13	43%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.02	-0.07	10	60%	0.10	4	-0.06	10	90%	0.04
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	14	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	9	45%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	441.5	3.7	34.5	21.6	28.6	3.6	39.3	572.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +31.2%

NJN +17.8%

NJN +9.1%

BOS -11.4%

NJN +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NJN	NBA	BOS	NJN	NBA
this game	15.6	13.6	15.6	99.0	105.1	102.3
season	15.0	14.7		100.9	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.7		98.0	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.0	16.5	15.5	13.5	15.6
NJN	12.4	13.5	12.7	15.9	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	12	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-6	5	12.2	16.1	-3.93	11.1	14.0	-2.95
Tony Battie	68	64	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-8	9	15.8	15.2	0.55	13.9	13.2	0.63
Tony Delk	29	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-6	5	15.3	15.7	-0.43	11.2	14.7	-3.56
Paul Pierce	78	78	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-9	11	15.7	15.2	0.52	14.0	12.1	1.90
Erick Strickland	15	15	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	1	-9	14.3	15.8	-1.51	12.4	13.9	-1.46
Kenny Anderson	77	79	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	-1	-5	15.6	15.7	-0.07	13.9	12.5	1.36
Rodney Rogers	43	45	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.11	-10	3	-13	16.9	14.6	2.35	13.9	13.4	0.46
Eric Williams	71	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.27	-5	-2	-3	15.3	16.4	-1.10	14.2	12.1	2.05
Antoine Walker	97	98	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.30	-7	0	-7	15.8	0.0	15.77	13.7	5.0	8.72

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	85	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-2	11	12.8	18.9	-6.08	15.1	18.3	-3.21
Todd MacCulloch	60	58	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	-7	21	12.4	15.5	-3.01	15.9	15.2	0.70
Kerry Kittles	64	62	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	0	7	12.4	15.9	-3.44	14.8	16.9	-2.11
Kenyon Martin	80	80	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.28	3	4	-1	13.6	13.8	-0.25	15.7	15.1	0.61
Richard Jefferson	40	40	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	0	7	14.1	13.3	0.78	15.5	15.7	-0.19
Keith Van Horn	73	71	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	6	-5	13.3	14.6	-1.28	15.1	16.9	-1.81
Lucious Harris	38	38	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.16	-1	8	-9	14.8	12.9	1.96	16.7	14.9	1.75
Aaron Williams	32	33	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.19	-4	11	-15	16.2	12.4	3.72	15.4	15.7	-0.37
Jason Collins	9	10	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	6	-5	17.2	13.3	3.94	18.6	15.3	3.33
Anthony Johnson	14	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	9	-11	18.9	12.8	6.08	18.3	15.1	3.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.77,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.97,1,1,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 104, SAS 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.84,0.8,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MIN 91, MIA 105	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.5%
MIL 73, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%