NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	95		Excitement	8.3 [200]		MVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): +9.7%
New Jersey Nets	103		Comeback	3.0 [447]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -22.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.05	7	56%	0.03	1	0.03	4	100%	0.02
Robert Traylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	9	61%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	7	44%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Elden Campbell	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	9	46%	-0.00	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.02
Baron Davis	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	0.00	-0.01	15	36%	-0.07	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.06
Lee Nailon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	9	52%	-0.08	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.03
Jamaal Magloire	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	7	52%	-0.10	2	-0.06	13	62%	-0.07
David Wesley	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.04	-0.11	0.02	12	50%	0.00	3	-0.18	2	50%	-0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.01	18	57%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.07	0.02	11	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	7	86%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	14	52%	0.12	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	79%	0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.01	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	22%	-0.05	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.04
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22	-0.22	-0.08	-0.12	0.02	12	47%	-0.12	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	515.6	3.4	29.4	19.5	29.9	2.8	37.5	638.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +37.6%

NJN +8.4%

CHH -19.4%

NJN +17.6%

NJN +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	NJN	NBA	CHH	NJN	NBA
this game	15.9	13.9	15.6	99.0	106.2	102.3
season	15.9	14.7		102.2	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.6		98.0	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.2	17.5	15.1	17.5	15.9
NJN	13.0	15.3	13.1	14.6	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	52	52	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.03	6	-14	20	15.8	16.0	-0.20	15.1	12.5	2.58
Baron Davis	75	76	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-11	14	15.5	17.5	-1.97	14.3	12.7	1.60
Robert Traylor	8	8	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.02	2	-10	12	15.9	15.9	-0.07	14.0	13.9	0.09
P.J. Brown	47	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.14	-13	5	-18	16.2	15.7	0.58	14.5	13.4	1.15
David Wesley	85	87	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-3	-2	16.2	14.3	1.88	14.1	12.1	2.03
George Lynch	88	89	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.23	-9	1	-10	15.8	17.7	-1.98	13.8	15.2	-1.45
Lee Nailon	44	44	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.42	-3	-5	2	15.8	16.0	-0.22	12.7	15.0	-2.30
Stacey Augmon	37	37	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	-1	-6	16.5	15.6	0.89	13.7	14.0	-0.30
Jamaal Magloire	44	45	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.29	-14	6	-20	16.0	15.8	0.20	12.5	15.1	-2.58

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Van Horn	74	75	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-6	20	13.3	15.8	-2.44	15.3	18.1	-2.82
Todd MacCulloch	52	51	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.41	6	2	4	13.7	14.2	-0.49	14.9	17.1	-2.17
Kerry Kittles	64	62	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	3	2	13.5	14.8	-1.27	15.0	17.7	-2.74
Jason Kidd	88	87	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.24	9	-1	10	13.6	17.3	-3.77	15.5	20.1	-4.61
Kenyon Martin	57	58	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	4	0	14.8	12.7	2.07	17.0	14.3	2.73
Jason Collins	33	32	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.11	5	3	2	15.1	13.3	1.73	17.8	15.0	2.86
Anthony Johnson	9	9	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	9	-10	17.3	13.6	3.77	20.1	15.5	4.61
Lucious Harris	34	35	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.06	1	7	-6	14.3	13.7	0.63	17.4	15.1	2.26
Richard Jefferson	50	47	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	9	-10	14.0	13.9	0.13	15.8	16.1	-0.29
Aaron Williams	24	24	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	10	-12	13.0	14.2	-1.16	15.6	16.1	-0.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.41,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.62,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.76,0.85,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, CHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.57,0.53,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.98,1	93.2%
NOP 81, DAL 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.47,0.65,0.81,0.92,0.97,1,1	91.6%
POR 60, NJN 64	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.54,0.33,0.53,0.89,0.91,0.98,1	91.3%