NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	89		Excitement	6.8 [447]		MVP	Dikembe Mutombo (PHI): +11.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	83		Comeback	2.2 [321]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -22.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	11	63%	0.11	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Jumaine Jones	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	56%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	12	46%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.08	0.01	14	47%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Eric Snow	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.21,-0.24,-0.28,-0.24,-0.24,-0.23,-0.23	-0.21	-0.02	-0.00	32	37%	-0.18	2	-0.05	12	67%	-0.04

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	7	71%	0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.03	9	68%	-0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	14	47%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	0.01	0.02	10	56%	0.02	4	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	22	45%	0.03	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.3	29.3	20.4	27.5	3.4	42.7	150.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -11.6%

PHI +6.6%

PHI +23.7%

PHI +25.9%

PHI +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	17.5	15.2	15.5	100.0	95.4	100.9
season	15.7	14.9		101.4	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.5		102.3	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.7	17.7	16.1	19.5	17.5
MIL	14.6	13.7	17.4	15.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyrone Hill	67	66	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.17	19	-13	32	17.7	16.9	0.82	15.5	14.3	1.17
Allen Iverson	89	86	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.32	6	0	6	17.5	0.0	17.48	15.2	16.0	-0.79
Eric Snow	46	44	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-3	12	18.0	17.0	1.02	15.9	14.5	1.44
Dikembe Mutombo	83	82	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.21	9	-3	12	18.1	9.3	8.74	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Aaron McKie	80	77	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	-2	10	17.9	14.1	3.75	15.3	14.7	0.59
Jumaine Jones	51	51	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	8	-10	16.7	18.5	-1.73	14.7	16.0	-1.29
Kevin Ollie	3	4	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	10	-14	11.7	17.7	-6.02	9.7	15.5	-5.73
Raja Bell	1	2	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	9	-12	2.0	17.7	-15.66	10.5	15.3	-4.83
Todd MacCulloch	25	23	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.15	-12	18	-30	15.7	18.2	-2.51	15.5	15.1	0.35

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	21	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-7	8	14.8	15.3	-0.54	15.2	18.1	-2.94
Jason Caffey	31	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-12	18	16.0	14.8	1.21	17.8	17.3	0.51
Tim Thomas	51	53	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.30	8	-14	22	14.5	16.2	-1.62	17.7	17.1	0.58
Scott Williams	49	47	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.14	-9	3	-12	15.7	14.6	1.04	17.3	17.7	-0.39
Glenn Robinson	68	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-1	-4	15.2	15.3	-0.12	17.7	16.6	1.16
Sam Cassell	71	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.32	-6	0	-6	15.1	15.6	-0.42	17.8	16.2	1.50
Ervin Johnson	70	73	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.36	-9	3	-12	15.0	16.3	-1.34	17.3	18.2	-0.93
Ray Allen	74	76	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.24	-16	10	-26	15.5	13.5	1.98	17.6	16.9	0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.26,0.38,0.47,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.05,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 103, LAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.33,0.44,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.36,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.02,0,0	92.8%
MIN 103, MIL 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.47,0.31,0.16,0.04,0,0	92.4%
SAS 100, DET 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.21,0.31,0.35,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.06,0,0	92.2%