NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	95		Excitement	5.5 [692]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +15.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	104		Comeback	2.6 [517]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): -15.8%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.13	-0.01	0.10	16	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	9	44%	-0.09
David Wesley	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	17	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Otis Thorpe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	15	56%	0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.07
Jamal Mashburn	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.03	25	36%	-0.14	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.05	0.05	17	72%	0.19	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	18	67%	0.15	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	80%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	12	53%	0.01	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	0.04	8	59%	-0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.01	3	57%	-0.03	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	31.0	18.7	30.1	2.8	39.4	147.4
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +22.9%

MIL +31.0%

MIL +9.1%

CHH -13.1%

MIL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	MIL	NBA	CHH	MIL	NBA
this game	17.9	14.9	15.5	109.2	116.9	100.9
season	15.8	14.9		99.7	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.6		102.3	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	18.5	18.0	19.9	15.5	17.9
MIL	14.2	13.5	17.9	14.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elden Campbell	57	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-7	5	19.1	15.6	3.42	15.7	13.3	2.40
Otis Thorpe	15	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-3	-3	18.9	17.7	1.28	14.9	14.9	-0.02
David Wesley	77	79	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-6	3	18.0	16.6	1.44	15.0	14.0	1.00
P.J. Brown	70	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-3	-3	18.0	17.5	0.50	14.9	15.0	-0.14
Jamaal Magloire	25	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-1	-7	16.7	18.4	-1.67	13.5	15.4	-1.91
Jamal Mashburn	76	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.20	-6	-3	-3	17.5	20.6	-3.16	14.5	17.7	-3.17
Baron Davis	82	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-5	1	18.0	16.2	1.78	15.0	13.2	1.79
Eddie Robinson	33	32	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.17	-10	1	-11	16.3	18.8	-2.48	14.9	14.9	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	59	58	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-5	19	13.6	17.4	-3.84	16.3	21.0	-4.64
Ray Allen	85	83	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	1	7	14.9	13.7	1.19	18.0	16.0	1.96
Lindsey Hunter	25	26	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.00	14	-5	19	15.0	14.9	0.10	18.5	17.6	0.84
Glenn Robinson	75	73	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	2	5	14.9	14.6	0.38	17.7	18.6	-0.83
Ervin Johnson	67	65	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.20	2	7	-5	15.7	12.5	3.11	18.3	16.7	1.60
Sam Cassell	68	65	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	13	-17	14.8	15.2	-0.40	17.5	18.9	-1.39
Scott Williams	46	46	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	8	-7	15.5	14.2	1.27	19.2	16.4	2.85
Jason Caffey	20	19	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	6	-3	14.5	15.0	-0.50	18.5	17.7	0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, NYK 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.67,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	93.6%
LAC 80, LAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.67,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%
PHI 88, CHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.48,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.2%