NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	94		Excitement	5.9 [611]		MVP	Baron Davis (CHH): +21.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	86		Comeback	1.5 [441]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -14.0%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.05	0.01	10	95%	0.23	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	9	55%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
David Wesley	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	14	47%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jamal Mashburn	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.15	0.04	-0.05	23	42%	0.02	3	-0.09	11	73%	0.03
Otis Thorpe	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	4	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	12	54%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Darvin Ham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0,0.02,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	17	55%	0.01	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	31%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	18	45%	-0.04	2	-0.08	8	75%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	12	43%	-0.06	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	3.0	31.1	19.8	28.3	3.4	35.2	145.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +45.1%

MIL -0.7%

MIL -11.6%

CHH +13.2%

CHH +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	MIL	NBA	CHH	MIL	NBA
this game	17.1	15.6	15.5	105.6	98.9	100.9
season	15.8	14.9		99.7	105.9
opponent	15.8	15.6		102.3	97.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	14.4	17.5	17.2	19.3	17.1
MIL	16.3	16.0	16.3	13.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	80	79	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.18	14	-6	20	16.6	21.0	-4.35	15.7	15.0	0.68
P.J. Brown	74	72	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	3	2	16.9	18.0	-1.09	15.5	16.1	-0.54
Eddie Robinson	43	40	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	-3	14	16.5	17.7	-1.21	16.1	15.2	0.93
Elden Campbell	60	61	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.13	8	0	8	16.6	18.0	-1.35	16.5	13.7	2.81
Jamal Mashburn	77	76	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.27	1	7	-6	17.2	16.2	0.97	15.2	18.4	-3.14
Baron Davis	63	62	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.24	0	8	-8	17.7	15.6	2.08	15.7	15.5	0.14
Jamaal Magloire	21	19	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	5	-2	16.0	17.4	-1.49	14.8	15.9	-1.06
Otis Thorpe	27	25	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	10	-12	20.0	15.8	4.12	15.0	15.9	-0.81
Hersey Hawkins	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	8	-8	0.0	17.1	-17.09	4.0	15.8	-11.76

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	4	4	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-9	10	11.7	15.8	-4.06	20.5	16.9	3.57
Lindsey Hunter	28	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.09	-1	-7	6	15.6	15.6	-0.02	16.8	17.3	-0.49
Jason Caffey	34	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-3	-2	15.9	15.5	0.43	16.7	17.3	-0.67
Tim Thomas	51	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-5	2	14.9	16.7	-1.83	17.5	16.4	1.14
Scott Williams	38	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-2	-4	15.7	15.5	0.21	16.4	17.6	-1.26
Ray Allen	81	83	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.31	0	-8	8	15.4	18.7	-3.27	17.3	13.5	3.85
Ervin Johnson	67	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-5	2	16.1	14.1	1.97	17.7	15.0	2.66
Glenn Robinson	69	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.21	-7	-1	-6	15.7	15.5	0.15	16.7	18.4	-1.69
Sam Cassell	63	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.13	-16	8	-24	16.0	14.5	1.55	16.7	17.9	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.31,0.22,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 102, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.18,0.31,0.1,0.04,0.02,0	94.0%
SAS 103, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.01,0,0	93.8%
MEM 94, MIL 81	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.02,0,0	93.7%