inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 91 Excitement7.7 [271] MVPBryon Russell (UTA): +12.0%
Dallas Mavericks 94 Comeback1.6 [645] LVPDonyell Marshall (UTA): -25.8%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bryon Russell0.120,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.080.040.001164%0.1200.0000%0.00
Danny Manning0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.110.060.04-0.011273%0.173-0.062100%0.01
John Stockton0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,0.05-0.020.080.021152%0.122-0.0710%-0.02
David Benoit-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Olden Polynice-0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Greg Ostertag-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
John Crotty-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Karl Malone-0.170,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.26,-0.22,-0.17,-0.17-0.13-0.010.022845%-0.035-0.14875%0.07
Donyell Marshall-0.260,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.26-0.02-0.220.011461%0.105-0.3600%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steve Nash0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,0.10.10-0.030.13-0.001548%0.192-0.083100%0.01
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.01-0.01671%0.071-0.012100%0.02
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.070.010.041963%0.102-0.061493%0.05
Howard Eisley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.04-0.01744%0.062-0.062100%0.02
Mark Bryant00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Calvin Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.040.011846%-0.051-0.02367%-0.02
Michael Finley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.25,-0.21-0.21-0.22-0.00-0.011424%-0.123-0.09667%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.22.528.219.628.52.433.6141.9
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.1139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA -12.8%
DAL +21.5%
DAL +8.0%
DAL +35.7%
UTA -2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTADALNBAUTADALNBA
this game15.615.415.598.9100.0100.9
season16.015.2105.3104.6
opponent15.315.5101.2100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA18.415.115.513.315.6
DAL14.314.915.217.215.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greg Ostertag1313-0.04-0.460.42-0.102-5715.215.6-0.3811.916.0-4.05
Olden Polynice3838-0.11-0.390.280.07-63-917.114.52.6415.815.10.67
David Benoit1918-0.13-0.370.240.04-63-915.715.50.1614.115.7-1.68
John Stockton6970-0.18-0.320.14-0.449-122115.515.7-0.2516.213.22.91
John Crotty88-0.19-0.310.12-0.04-52-712.615.8-3.2112.915.7-2.78
Jacque Vaughn2830-0.20-0.300.100.01-74-1116.315.21.0514.315.9-1.64
Donyell Marshall7174-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.507-101715.515.8-0.3315.913.52.37
Karl Malone7983-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.33-1-2115.714.61.0916.19.96.24
Danny Manning5150-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.41-1-2114.217.2-2.9614.516.5-2.04
Bryon Russell8486-0.560.06-0.62-0.35-74-1115.714.21.4315.514.60.86

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juwan Howard88860.56-0.060.610.357-41115.613.22.4015.713.22.55
Dirk Nowitzki94920.500.000.500.4130315.40.015.4115.60.015.55
Steve Nash74720.460.040.420.315-2716.312.14.1515.615.30.33
Michael Finley89880.390.110.280.3612-115.218.4-3.1515.418.2-2.82
Howard Eisley45440.330.170.160.2430313.717.0-3.2715.415.7-0.28
Shawn Bradley45430.310.190.120.3103-315.715.10.6115.715.40.27
Calvin Booth24240.050.45-0.400.0212-114.015.9-1.9016.115.40.72
Mark Bryant1111-0.090.59-0.680.05-58-1318.415.03.3413.615.8-2.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.78,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.68,0.74,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 96, DAL 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.51,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.76,0.91,192.7%
PHX 112, HOU 1160.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.67,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.71,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.89,0.68,0.74,192.5%
MIL 81, HOU 850.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.69,0.79,0.67,0.57,192.3%