NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	113		Excitement	7.3 [354]		MVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): +29.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Comeback	3.2 [178]		LVP	Sam Mitchell (MIN): -16.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.14	0.13	0.01	10	92%	0.32	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Greg Buckner	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.24,0.24	0.12	0.11	-0.00	8	87%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.13	-0.00	14	60%	0.19	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.06	0.04	11	68%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	54%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Sean Rooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Shawn Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	6	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	13	57%	0.06	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Hubert Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.12	0.15	-0.02	13	79%	0.32	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.01	14	63%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Joe Smith	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrae Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	13	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	0.03	18	52%	0.00	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	11	30%	-0.14	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.0	25.2	16.7	22.2	1.7	26.2	116.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +46.6%

DAL +26.4%

MIN -15.0%

MIN -6.9%

MIN -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MIN	NBA	DAL	MIN	NBA
this game	13.9	17.0	15.2	120.2	115.1	101.7
season	14.8	15.1		104.2	103.5
opponent	15.7	14.8		101.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.4	11.0	16.6	16.6	13.9
MIN	14.3	16.7	17.7	20.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	49	47	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.37	10	-4	14	14.8	12.8	1.99	17.6	16.3	1.38
Greg Buckner	52	50	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-3	12	13.4	14.4	-0.94	18.3	15.4	2.86
Erick Strickland	54	52	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.40	6	0	6	14.1	13.5	0.54	17.2	16.7	0.49
Michael Finley	94	93	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	13.9	0.0	13.86	17.0	0.0	16.96
Steve Nash	94	93	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	13.9	0.0	13.86	17.0	0.0	16.96
Hubert Davis	23	24	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	2	2	12.4	14.3	-1.95	16.7	17.0	-0.34
Dirk Nowitzki	42	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	9	-12	14.4	13.4	0.94	15.4	18.3	-2.86
Cedric Ceballos	47	48	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	10	-14	13.1	14.6	-1.55	16.0	18.0	-2.02
Sean Rooks	15	15	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.07	-4	10	-14	14.6	13.7	0.88	17.6	16.8	0.77

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	66	67	0.14	-0.64	0.79	-0.15	10	-16	26	15.2	21.3	-6.17	14.5	12.3	2.20
Wally Szczerbiak	57	58	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.07	1	-7	8	16.0	18.5	-2.52	13.8	13.9	-0.13
Andrae Patterson	10	12	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-9	12	11.8	17.6	-5.78	11.3	14.2	-2.90
Joe Smith	50	50	0.04	-0.54	0.59	0.07	-1	-5	4	18.7	14.9	3.81	13.9	13.8	0.04
Tom Hammonds	26	26	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-5	4	16.7	17.1	-0.42	11.0	14.9	-3.90
Rasho Nesterovic	45	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-7	8	15.6	18.2	-2.59	15.3	12.6	2.74
Dean Garrett	9	8	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-3	0	22.3	16.4	5.95	12.7	14.0	-1.22
Anthony Peeler	63	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-3	0	17.6	15.6	2.00	13.7	14.2	-0.50
Malik Sealy	55	56	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.38	-7	1	-8	16.9	17.0	-0.12	14.3	13.3	1.00
William Avery	28	28	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.16	-18	12	-30	20.6	15.4	5.22	12.6	14.4	-1.79
Sam Mitchell	56	57	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.36	-12	6	-18	17.2	16.5	0.74	14.4	13.0	1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.38,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.42,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.45,0.16,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 91, MEM 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.42,0.26,0.11,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.16,0.08,0	93.0%
CHI 100, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.11,0.06,0.01,0	92.3%
CHI 83, CLE 74	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.09,0	91.7%