NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	111		Excitement	10.4 [43]		MVP	Lamond Murray (CLE): +33.9%
New Jersey Nets	108		Comeback	10.0 [89]		LVP	Elliot Perry (NJN): -34.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamond Murray	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,-0.07,0.34	0.06	0.29	0.01	20	60%	0.53	2	-0.19	5	60%	-0.01
Cedric Henderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	7	57%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Bryant	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	5	100%	0.16	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	71%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Andre Miller	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lari Ketner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Bob Sura	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	14	46%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09	0.01	-0.12	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	5	23%	-0.12	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.06
Shawn Kemp	-0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.13	-0.02	-0.10	0.01	15	57%	0.13	3	-0.26	10	90%	0.08

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.14	-0.00	18	64%	0.26	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.09
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	-0.00	18	67%	0.19	2	-0.08	7	71%	-0.04
Gheorghe Muresan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	8	36%	-0.11	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.15
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.09	-0.18	0.03	16	65%	-0.10	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.31,-0.34	-0.34	-0.13	-0.25	-0.04	16	41%	-0.08	5	-0.26	2	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	1.5	24.5	14.7	23.2	1.8	44.1	130.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +82.0%

NJN -22.1%

CLE +2.7%

NJN -13.6%

CLE +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NJN	NBA	CLE	NJN	NBA
this game	12.3	15.7	15.2	107.8	104.9	101.7
season	14.1	15.5		98.0	102.1
opponent	14.7	15.3		103.3	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.8	10.4	13.5	12.6	12.3
NJN	16.0	16.2	15.3	15.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	40	40	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.79	2	1	1	13.4	11.6	1.74	15.3	15.9	-0.53
Shawn Kemp	74	74	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.52	7	-4	11	12.3	12.3	-0.05	14.9	17.4	-2.50
Lamond Murray	70	70	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.57	1	2	-1	12.2	12.5	-0.35	15.0	17.1	-2.16
Danny Ferry	44	44	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.15	14	-11	25	11.5	12.9	-1.34	15.7	15.6	0.17
Bob Sura	69	69	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	-2	7	11.4	14.1	-2.74	15.8	15.4	0.44
Cedric Henderson	35	34	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	-1	5	11.8	12.6	-0.73	16.6	15.2	1.49
Wesley Person	34	34	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	5	-7	14.1	11.4	2.74	15.4	15.8	-0.44
Mark Bryant	42	43	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	9	-15	13.7	11.3	2.37	15.8	15.5	0.24
Andrew DeClercq	30	29	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.11	-4	7	-11	12.0	12.5	-0.49	17.4	14.9	2.50
Lari Ketner	14	15	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.13	-7	10	-17	13.1	12.2	0.88	15.9	15.6	0.33
Brevin Knight	63	63	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	-0.37	1	2	-1	11.6	13.4	-1.74	15.9	15.3	0.53

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gheorghe Muresan	48	48	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.01	2	-5	7	16.1	15.2	0.93	12.1	12.5	-0.39
Kendall Gill	73	74	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-8	13	16.3	14.1	2.19	12.8	11.1	1.73
Jamie Feick	75	75	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-1	-1	16.5	13.5	3.00	12.3	12.4	-0.11
Johnny Newman	71	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	1	-5	15.7	15.5	0.22	11.8	13.5	-1.77
Elliot Perry	86	84	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.38	-7	4	-11	15.3	17.2	-1.83	12.2	12.8	-0.59
Keith Van Horn	82	82	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.48	-4	1	-5	14.8	19.0	-4.21	12.6	11.1	1.47
Lucious Harris	80	80	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.56	-5	2	-7	15.1	17.4	-2.24	12.3	12.3	-0.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.81,0.69,0.88,0.88,0.69,0.64,0.45,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 111, MIA 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.95,0	90.0%
HOU 89, BOS 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.41,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.72,0	89.9%
ORL 105, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.72,0	89.9%