NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	121		Excitement	5.4 [715]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +13.1%
Houston Rockets	112		Comeback	1.0 [615]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -21.3%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	13	56%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.00	0.03	31	61%	0.13	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.00
Lazaro Borrell	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.00	0.03	-0.02	10	55%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00
Brent Barry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Vin Baker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	17	46%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Vernon Maxwell	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	24%	-0.06	2	-0.04	1	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	13	37%	-0.08	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.05	9	83%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.09	0.06	-0.06	13	50%	0.16	5	-0.13	4	75%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.13	0.01	0.12	24	69%	0.08	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	11	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.16	-0.06	-0.00	12	59%	0.02	9	-0.23	10	70%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.8	29.2	15.7	22.0	2.8	34.2	131.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +6.4%

HOU -10.1%

SEA +23.5%

SEA +30.3%

HOU -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	HOU	NBA	SEA	HOU	NBA
this game	13.9	13.9	15.2	118.6	106.7	101.7
season	14.9	15.4		103.5	102.4
opponent	14.6	15.4		103.5	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	10.4	15.8	15.7	14.4	13.9
HOU	15.9	13.1	13.2	13.3	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Horace Grant	80	83	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.10	20	-11	31	13.7	14.8	-1.13	13.9	14.0	-0.19
Lazaro Borrell	61	63	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.00	19	-10	29	13.1	15.1	-1.99	14.1	13.5	0.58
Gary Payton	102	105	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.24	9	0	9	13.9	0.0	13.93	13.9	0.0	13.90
Rashard Lewis	50	54	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-4	17	12.5	15.3	-2.89	14.0	13.8	0.22
Shammond Williams	68	70	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	-2	13	13.4	14.9	-1.51	13.4	14.9	-1.57
Brent Barry	42	44	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.28	-7	16	-23	14.1	13.8	0.32	13.8	14.0	-0.17
Vin Baker	55	55	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	13	-17	15.0	12.7	2.24	13.8	14.0	-0.24
Ruben Patterson	23	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.13	-5	14	-19	15.0	13.6	1.44	15.6	13.4	2.20
Vernon Maxwell	29	29	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.19	-11	20	-31	16.9	12.8	4.14	13.6	14.0	-0.38

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Miller	42	41	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.37	23	-32	55	12.3	14.9	-2.60	17.7	11.4	6.23
Moochie Norris	59	57	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.35	14	-23	37	13.6	14.2	-0.61	14.5	13.2	1.35
Matt Bullard	53	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.39	11	-20	31	12.9	14.9	-1.96	14.8	13.1	1.63
Cuttino Mobley	100	98	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.24	-10	1	-11	14.1	10.6	3.46	14.1	9.7	4.35
Shandon Anderson	88	86	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.10	-15	6	-21	13.6	15.4	-1.74	14.0	13.7	0.29
Kenny Thomas	39	38	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.20	-26	17	-43	15.2	13.1	2.12	11.6	15.3	-3.75
Steve Francis	98	95	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	4	-17	14.1	11.4	2.64	13.4	20.7	-7.28
Kelvin Cato	46	45	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.25	-29	20	-49	15.5	12.7	2.78	11.4	15.9	-4.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.04,0.11,0.23,0.31,0.15,0.06,0.01,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 100, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.2%
ATL 106, NJN 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.3,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.11,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0	93.0%
IND 110, WAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.26,0.2,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.26,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.09,0	93.0%