NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	93		Excitement	2.7 [1183]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +14.6%
San Antonio Spurs	77		Comeback	1.0 [632]		LVP	Avery Johnson (SAS): -9.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.00	0.02	18	69%	0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Brian Grant	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	72%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Greg Anthony	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	2	117%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	11	46%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	4	67%	0.02	3	-0.00	1	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	8	68%	0.06	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Steven Smith	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	10	64%	0.03	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	6	33%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	4	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	57%	0.01	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	46%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	47%	-0.03	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	7	44%	-0.01	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	10	27%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	33.4	17.4	23.2	1.8	29.2	129.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +50.5%

SAS -2.3%

SAS -4.0%

POR +3.1%

POR +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAS	NBA	POR	SAS	NBA
this game	16.8	17.5	15.2	109.4	92.8	101.7
season	15.9	15.5		105.9	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.7		95.9	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.6	12.4	20.3	19.0	16.8
SAS	19.4	16.4	18.6	16.1	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Grant	52	52	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	4	8	17.4	15.8	1.55	17.7	17.2	0.59
Steven Smith	64	62	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	3	10	17.3	15.2	2.03	17.0	19.0	-2.03
Damon Stoudamire	52	50	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.07	12	4	8	18.0	14.8	3.28	16.6	19.0	-2.44
Rasheed Wallace	55	54	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	12	-8	17.8	14.9	2.88	17.7	17.2	0.44
Scottie Pippen	50	50	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	9	-2	18.1	14.9	3.24	19.0	15.4	3.60
Bonzi Wells	29	29	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	10	-4	14.4	18.0	-3.52	16.8	17.9	-1.08
Greg Anthony	42	40	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	10	-4	15.5	18.0	-2.55	18.0	17.1	0.91
Arvydas Sabonis	36	33	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.09	10	6	4	15.5	17.7	-2.15	19.4	16.3	3.09
Stacey Augmon	18	18	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	12	-8	14.3	17.4	-3.08	18.1	17.4	0.74
Jermaine O'Neal	27	27	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	10	-4	15.2	17.5	-2.31	14.5	19.0	-4.46

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson	24	25	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-13	10	15.0	18.6	-3.56	16.0	17.1	-1.14
Antonio Daniels	31	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.04	-4	-12	8	17.0	17.9	-0.90	16.2	17.1	-0.85
Jerome Kersey	36	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-14	12	18.3	16.9	1.42	15.8	17.5	-1.78
Felton Spencer	20	21	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	-6	-4	19.8	16.8	2.99	12.7	18.1	-5.44
Terry Porter	42	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-13	10	18.4	16.7	1.67	16.0	17.5	-1.55
Malik Rose	35	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	-8	0	15.4	19.1	-3.73	16.7	16.8	-0.09
Sean Elliott	28	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-5	-6	18.0	17.3	0.76	18.5	15.9	2.66
Samaki Walker	57	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-11	6	19.2	13.9	5.25	17.3	15.6	1.77
Mario Elie	36	36	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.10	-13	-3	-10	17.1	17.9	-0.84	17.9	16.0	1.90
David Robinson	54	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-7	-2	16.4	19.7	-3.37	17.7	14.9	2.89
Avery Johnson	52	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-4	-8	17.9	17.0	0.90	17.1	16.2	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 87, SAC 73	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
HOU 123, WAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	96.9%
MIN 91, DET 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0	96.9%