NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	101		Excitement	3.0 [1147]		MVP	Tim Thomas (MIL): +11.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	109		Comeback	1.1 [1172]		LVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): -10.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.14	-0.01	0.09	11	87%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.05	12	69%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	12	50%	0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gheorghe Muresan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.00
Mark Hendrickson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Burrell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	12	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	14	51%	0.00	5	-0.06	9	89%	0.01
Lucious Harris	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	0.04	8	28%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.01	-0.02	12	74%	0.12	2	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.02	-0.08	9	33%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	19	53%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	15	57%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	17	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mirsad Turkcan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	1.6	27.6	15.5	23.9	1.8	25.2	116.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +26.3%

MIL +0.9%

MIL +13.7%

MIL +10.0%

NJN -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIL	NBA	NJN	MIL	NBA
this game	16.0	15.5	15.2	111.0	118.5	101.7
season	15.5	14.9		102.1	105.5
opponent	15.4	14.7		105.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.0	16.6	18.0	13.5	16.0
MIL	15.3	16.1	13.3	17.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Hendrickson	15	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-10	12	16.3	16.0	0.29	19.6	14.7	4.85
Gheorghe Muresan	25	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.30	7	-15	22	13.2	17.1	-3.89	18.0	14.4	3.60
Jim McIlvaine	13	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-3	-2	15.5	16.1	-0.56	17.2	15.2	1.96
Johnny Newman	51	51	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.28	2	-10	12	16.4	15.5	0.84	14.5	16.7	-2.26
Jamie Feick	53	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	2	-12	17.5	14.0	3.47	13.8	17.8	-3.93
Lucious Harris	59	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-7	6	16.2	15.8	0.37	15.2	15.9	-0.64
Scott Burrell	50	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.31	1	-9	10	14.5	17.8	-3.29	16.5	14.1	2.36
Kendall Gill	65	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	4	-16	16.7	14.3	2.45	15.4	15.6	-0.25
Elliot Perry	58	59	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-5	2	15.1	17.6	-2.53	15.8	14.9	0.85
Keith Van Horn	66	67	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.14	-21	13	-34	16.8	14.0	2.84	14.6	17.8	-3.27

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	59	60	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.15	24	-16	40	14.1	17.9	-3.87	17.4	13.4	3.95
Ray Allen	61	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-7	22	15.0	16.4	-1.45	17.3	13.0	4.35
Sam Cassell	67	65	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	-5	18	14.7	17.5	-2.78	17.0	13.6	3.42
Ervin Johnson	47	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	-4	16	15.1	15.8	-0.67	17.7	14.2	3.52
Vinny Del Negro	43	41	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.31	-3	11	-14	16.9	14.2	2.64	13.8	17.8	-3.99
Scott Williams	38	38	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.20	0	8	-8	16.3	14.9	1.46	14.2	17.3	-3.11
Tim Thomas	39	37	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	3	2	16.4	14.8	1.61	14.8	16.8	-2.00
Danny Manning	29	29	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.03	7	1	6	16.8	14.8	2.00	16.2	15.9	0.32
Darvin Ham	41	40	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.12	0	8	-8	14.8	16.0	-1.18	17.3	15.0	2.28
Mirsad Turkcan	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	19	-30	17.7	15.1	2.66	12.1	16.7	-4.60
Rafer Alston	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	19	-30	15.6	15.4	0.20	10.5	16.7	-6.20
Robert Traylor	11	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	19	-30	15.6	15.4	0.20	10.5	16.7	-6.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 68, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
CHI 82, DET 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
MIN 88, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%