NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	96		Excitement	7.9 [252]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +9.6%
Orlando Magic	89		Comeback	1.6 [426]		LVP	Chucky Atkins (ORL): -19.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Ewing	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.07,0,0.04,0.04,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	20	58%	0.15	2	-0.07	8	75%	-0.04
Kurt Thomas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	-0.02	10	70%	0.13	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	5	67%	0.08	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.10	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.08	-0.02	12	50%	-0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	17	29%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14	-0.13	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	4	-0.12	9	89%	0.08

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.07	-0.01	12	58%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	7	81%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	9	48%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
John Amaechi	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	10	37%	-0.07	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.02
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	2	25%	-0.07	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Ron Mercer	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.18	-0.02	-0.03	15	30%	-0.13	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.02
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,0.01,0.05,-0.04,-0.1,-0.17,-0.14,-0.19	-0.19	-0.07	-0.13	-0.01	13	50%	-0.08	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	30.3	19.6	30.2	2.7	42.2	153.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +19.7%

NYK +21.3%

NYK +16.6%

ORL -14.4%

NYK +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	17.0	12.4	15.2	98.0	90.8	101.7
season	16.1	13.6		100.0	100.4
opponent	15.4	15.8		99.3	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.6	15.6	17.9	17.9	17.0
ORL	12.7	12.1	14.2	10.9	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	76	75	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.24	14	-7	21	16.9	17.0	-0.11	12.5	12.1	0.45
Latrell Sprewell	69	70	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.16	15	-8	23	16.9	17.1	-0.20	12.7	11.8	0.85
Larry Johnson	82	80	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.30	10	-3	13	16.5	19.4	-2.96	12.6	11.4	1.21
Kurt Thomas	47	48	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.09	10	-3	13	17.2	16.8	0.41	12.3	12.6	-0.27
Patrick Ewing	70	69	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	2	3	17.2	16.2	0.99	12.6	11.9	0.71
Allan Houston	65	67	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.29	-2	9	-11	17.7	15.6	2.09	12.0	13.4	-1.40
Marcus Camby	56	56	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	14	-21	16.7	17.3	-0.65	12.5	12.3	0.21
Rick Brunson	25	25	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	17	-27	16.4	17.2	-0.75	11.4	12.8	-1.38

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Monty Williams	40	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-12	17	11.4	13.1	-1.70	16.9	17.0	-0.06
Michael Doleac	39	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-7	7	11.0	13.4	-2.37	16.7	17.1	-0.37
Pat Garrity	47	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-6	5	11.3	13.5	-2.17	16.9	17.0	-0.09
Ben Wallace	55	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-4	1	13.5	11.0	2.50	17.0	16.9	0.09
Corey Maggette	28	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-2	-3	12.3	12.5	-0.15	16.8	17.0	-0.25
Chucky Atkins	48	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.30	2	-9	11	11.1	13.7	-2.60	17.1	16.8	0.28
Ron Mercer	70	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-5	3	12.5	12.3	0.15	17.0	16.8	0.25
John Amaechi	55	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.06	-8	1	-9	13.3	11.3	2.01	17.1	16.7	0.35
Bo Outlaw	46	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	3	-13	13.8	11.2	2.67	17.2	16.7	0.49
Darrell Armstrong	62	63	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.16	-13	6	-19	13.0	11.4	1.69	16.7	17.5	-0.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.31,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.2,0.12,0.13,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.28,0.09,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 90, NOH 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.03,0.26,0	91.5%
ORL 107, CHA 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.33,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.53,0.28,0.1,0.02,0	91.2%
DEN 104, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.45,0.59,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.22,0.2,0.08,0.04,0.02,0	91.1%