NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	90		Excitement	8.5 [206]		MVP	David Wesley (NOH): +48.0%
New Orleans Hornets	89		Comeback	5.4 [186]		LVP	Pat Garrity (ORL): -26.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.2,0.34	-0.12	0.44	-0.02	14	54%	0.55	7	-0.21	7	100%	0.05
Hedo Turkoglu	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.08	-0.00	12	75%	0.22	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	5	86%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	11	54%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	9	43%	-0.06	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	6	7%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dwight Howard	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	-0.04	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Pat Garrity	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.26	-0.00	-0.26	0.00	7	50%	-0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.48	0.48	0.09	0.39	-0.00	6	81%	0.48	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.17	0.11	-0.01	26	64%	0.32	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
George Lynch	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	7	57%	0.03	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	6	17%	-0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.23	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	0.01	14	43%	-0.19	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.6	31.2	15.3	28.6	2.4	31.4	136.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH -11.8%

ORL +25.8%

ORL +35.0%

NOH -10.3%

ORL +11.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NOH	NBA	ORL	NOH	NBA
this game	15.4	16.1	15.5	98.9	96.7	104.0
season	14.3	16.5		102.9	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.5		105.2	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.9	10.5	16.0	21.9	15.4
NOH	14.1	15.2	16.0	20.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	39	43	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.77	2	-1	3	15.1	15.6	-0.47	18.0	14.4	3.66
Pat Garrity	21	21	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.60	7	-6	13	17.7	14.7	2.95	15.7	16.2	-0.53
Grant Hill	61	60	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.33	7	-6	13	15.9	14.3	1.63	15.0	18.0	-2.95
Tony Battie	36	36	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	-5	11	14.7	15.8	-1.11	16.6	15.8	0.79
Jameer Nelson	18	21	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.04	9	-8	17	13.6	15.8	-2.22	18.2	15.4	2.80
Stacey Augmon	9	11	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	-4	9	9.6	16.0	-6.48	18.1	15.8	2.29
Cuttino Mobley	67	66	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.39	-5	6	-11	15.7	14.5	1.22	15.5	17.5	-1.98
Steve Francis	70	68	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.40	-6	7	-13	15.7	14.2	1.50	15.5	17.8	-2.38
Michael Bradley	12	12	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	0	1	12.2	15.9	-3.62	16.8	16.0	0.87
DeShawn Stevenson	9	8	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	8	-15	17.2	15.2	2.03	13.0	16.4	-3.37
Kelvin Cato	55	55	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.24	-7	8	-15	15.8	14.7	1.11	16.0	16.2	-0.14
Dwight Howard	58	59	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	-0.31	-7	8	-15	15.2	15.7	-0.47	16.1	16.1	-0.02

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	53	55	0.56	-1.06	1.62	0.03	18	-19	37	16.2	15.9	0.31	16.4	13.8	2.63
P.J. Brown	65	65	0.53	-1.03	1.56	0.21	11	-12	23	16.0	16.1	-0.10	16.2	13.4	2.76
David Wesley	60	59	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.27	4	-5	9	15.5	17.2	-1.66	15.1	15.9	-0.84
J.R. Smith	21	21	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	3	-7	18.0	15.5	2.43	13.8	15.9	-2.06
Baron Davis	69	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.44	7	-8	15	15.5	17.7	-2.22	15.9	13.7	2.19
George Lynch	65	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.52	5	-6	11	15.8	16.7	-0.84	15.4	15.5	-0.12
David West	26	26	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.12	-10	9	-19	16.7	15.8	0.86	13.4	16.2	-2.76
Rodney Rogers	32	30	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.39	-4	3	-7	15.6	16.3	-0.74	14.5	15.8	-1.34
Chris Andersen	34	33	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.07	-21	20	-41	16.8	15.7	1.14	14.5	15.9	-1.33
Darrell Armstrong	35	32	-1.01	0.51	-1.52	-0.69	-11	10	-21	16.6	15.7	0.89	15.9	15.1	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.21,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.03,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, MEM 88	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0	92.8%
MEM 100, SEA 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.54,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.44,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.21,0.03,0.02,0	92.6%
LAL 104, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0	92.5%