NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	73		Excitement	2.9 [1164]		MVP	Tim Thomas (MIL): +6.2%
Milwaukee Bucks	92		Comeback	1.8 [1101]		LVP	Randy Brown (CHI): -12.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Perdue	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Matt Maloney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.10	-0.01	-0.08	11	53%	0.01	5	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Dickey Simpkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	3	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	5	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Anstey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.00	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Chris Carr	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	50%	-0.06	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Elton Brand	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	17	43%	-0.08	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.02
Randy Brown	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	13	48%	0.06	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	13	61%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	0.00	13	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Mirsad Turkcan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.03	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	16	44%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.6	27.4	15.5	26.3	1.5	26.9	123.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +37.2%

CHI -0.5%

CHI -8.3%

MIL +19.3%

MIL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIL	NBA	CHI	MIL	NBA
this game	16.5	15.1	15.2	78.5	103.4	101.7
season	16.5	14.9		91.8	105.5
opponent	15.4	14.9		105.1	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.8	17.4	17.1	15.9	16.5
MIL	12.4	15.2	14.2	19.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Will Perdue	20	21	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.27	9	-28	37	15.9	16.7	-0.83	19.1	13.8	5.33
Chris Anstey	29	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.24	-11	-8	-3	16.7	16.5	0.21	13.7	15.7	-2.04
Corey Benjamin	27	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.09	-7	-12	5	17.1	16.3	0.85	17.0	14.2	2.77
Dickey Simpkins	34	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-20	21	17.2	16.2	1.08	17.3	13.7	3.65
Matt Maloney	54	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	-10	1	15.7	17.7	-1.93	16.1	13.4	2.77
Chris Carr	38	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-15	11	15.1	17.6	-2.53	16.6	13.9	2.71
Randy Brown	39	34	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.03	-10	-9	-1	17.7	15.7	1.93	13.4	16.1	-2.77
Metta World Peace	65	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.23	-17	-2	-15	17.2	15.1	2.11	13.9	17.8	-3.89
Michael Ruffin	35	31	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.06	-14	-5	-9	16.2	16.7	-0.51	14.0	15.6	-1.59
Elton Brand	68	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.30	-23	4	-27	16.5	16.7	-0.18	13.6	18.5	-4.90
Hersey Hawkins	56	52	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-9	-1	16.5	16.6	-0.03	14.3	16.1	-1.73

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	58	62	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.35	28	-9	37	14.5	16.2	-1.68	17.0	15.6	1.40
Glenn Robinson	61	64	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.27	23	-4	27	13.8	17.9	-4.12	16.6	16.5	0.10
Darvin Ham	46	49	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.17	17	2	15	15.4	14.7	0.63	16.6	16.5	0.13
Sam Cassell	56	60	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.27	20	-1	21	13.4	17.9	-4.52	16.4	16.8	-0.42
Ervin Johnson	51	54	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.30	20	-1	21	13.2	17.5	-4.29	16.2	17.1	-0.91
Tim Thomas	47	49	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	12	-5	14.8	15.4	-0.59	16.8	16.2	0.57
Scott Williams	18	22	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	11	-3	16.4	14.7	1.73	18.3	16.0	2.32
Vinny Del Negro	47	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	20	-21	16.9	13.0	3.96	16.9	16.2	0.74
Robert Traylor	27	25	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.30	-10	29	-39	18.3	13.7	4.58	15.4	17.0	-1.52
Rafer Alston	17	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.27	-9	28	-37	17.4	14.5	2.90	14.4	17.0	-2.69
Mirsad Turkcan	17	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	27	-35	18.6	14.2	4.42	16.0	16.7	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 92, GSW 135	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
DEN 102, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
LAL 90, OKC 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%