NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	7.7 [292]		MVP	Kenny Anderson (BOS): +35.0%
Charlotte Hornets	112		Comeback	5.1 [475]		LVP	Elden Campbell (CHH): -21.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0.35	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.13	0.21	-0.00	13	79%	0.41	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.04
Dana Barros	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	10	59%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Eric Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	8	62%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.01	13	64%	0.11	4	-0.17	2	50%	-0.01
Adrian Griffin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	-0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	22	46%	-0.15	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.09

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.09	0.01	10	83%	0.26	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.08
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.00	10	89%	0.33	4	-0.15	8	87%	0.04
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	7	86%	0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Mason	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	82%	0.16	6	-0.18	15	87%	0.08
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	6	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	13	37%	-0.05	4	-0.12	4	25%	-0.05
Elden Campbell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	9	27%	-0.14	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.7	29.3	14.8	31.2	2.8	36.3	139.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +9.5%

CHH +40.9%

CHH +12.0%

BOS -17.4%

CHH +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHH	NBA	BOS	CHH	NBA
this game	14.5	14.3	15.2	106.1	110.9	101.7
season	14.7	14.9		102.4	101.5
opponent	15.1	15.1		99.2	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.5	15.1	13.8	15.5	14.5
CHH	15.9	12.6	15.7	13.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dana Barros	34	36	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-9	11	12.9	15.3	-2.32	14.3	14.4	-0.09
Calbert Cheaney	17	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-5	3	14.5	14.5	0.08	13.0	14.6	-1.65
Tony Battie	29	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-7	7	14.6	14.4	0.12	12.5	15.2	-2.72
Eric Williams	72	74	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-3	-1	14.4	14.6	-0.12	14.4	14.2	0.21
Danny Fortson	35	37	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.25	2	-9	11	13.5	15.0	-1.51	14.6	14.2	0.49
Adrian Griffin	40	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-5	3	14.7	14.3	0.35	14.4	14.3	0.10
Antoine Walker	78	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-4	1	14.8	13.3	1.50	14.6	13.5	1.07
Kenny Anderson	67	68	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	0	-7	15.2	13.0	2.21	14.0	15.1	-1.08
Vitaly Potapenko	56	55	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	6	-19	14.6	14.3	0.29	14.9	13.7	1.14
Paul Pierce	67	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.32	-8	1	-9	14.4	14.6	-0.14	15.0	13.1	1.96

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Coleman	75	74	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.36	12	-5	17	14.3	14.3	0.04	14.6	14.2	0.41
Elden Campbell	83	81	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.27	11	-4	15	14.1	15.3	-1.15	14.8	13.0	1.79
Anthony Mason	91	89	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.32	9	-2	11	14.6	12.1	2.48	14.3	15.8	-1.49
Eddie Jones	92	90	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.25	10	-3	13	14.6	12.1	2.44	14.6	12.9	1.73
David Wesley	66	63	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.36	4	3	1	13.8	15.3	-1.50	14.6	14.2	0.42
Baron Davis	38	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	3	1	15.1	13.9	1.15	14.1	14.7	-0.58
Todd Fuller	9	10	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	5	-3	16.6	14.1	2.44	14.3	14.5	-0.18
Chucky Brown	13	12	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.04	-9	16	-25	12.9	14.5	-1.62	12.5	14.7	-2.24
Eddie Robinson	38	38	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.01	-8	15	-23	13.8	14.7	-0.88	14.3	14.6	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.4,0.66,0.62,0.85,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 100, BOS 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.49,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.46,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.76,0.9,1	92.5%
NJN 94, PHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.41,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.87,1	91.8%
ATL 91, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.23,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.45,0.67,0.62,0.84,0.97,0.93,1	91.8%