NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	100		Excitement	4.3 [934]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +8.6%
Vancouver Grizzlies	86		Comeback	2.4 [534]		LVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): -17.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	12	73%	0.16	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Steve Nash	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	7	69%	0.09	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Damon Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	9	56%	-0.00	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	12	59%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	9	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	0.00	0.05	16	53%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	15	62%	0.06	5	-0.11	7	71%	-0.02
Bryant Reeves	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	14	41%	-0.07	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Othella Harrington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.02	0.03	11	35%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.03
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.02	0.02	13	47%	-0.08	6	-0.09	4	100%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.0	31.9	0.2	24.1	2.5	24.6	110.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +39.1%

DAL +9.1%

VAN -7.2%

DAL +8.0%

DAL +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	VAN	NBA	DAL	VAN	NBA
this game	14.7	14.4	15.2	101.0	86.9	101.7
season	14.8	15.9		104.2	99.5
opponent	15.0	14.8		105.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.7	14.4	13.8	17.1	14.7
VAN	13.0	15.0	15.6	14.1	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hubert Davis	63	63	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.05	15	-1	16	15.2	13.8	1.44	14.2	14.7	-0.56
Steve Nash	85	86	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	0	14	14.5	15.8	-1.27	14.2	15.9	-1.76
Dirk Nowitzki	64	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	-4	22	14.0	15.9	-1.88	14.5	14.2	0.30
Michael Finley	84	83	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.13	9	5	4	14.6	15.5	-0.91	15.1	10.7	4.35
Erick Strickland	54	54	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	10	-6	14.2	15.3	-1.04	14.7	14.1	0.60
Sean Rooks	15	16	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	7	0	13.5	14.9	-1.37	13.4	14.6	-1.22
Shawn Bradley	67	67	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	9	-4	14.6	14.8	-0.17	15.2	12.8	2.38
Greg Buckner	58	58	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.06	2	12	-10	15.9	13.0	2.81	13.7	15.3	-1.62
Damon Jones	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	17.8	14.5	3.27	3.5	14.9	-11.35

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Carr	11	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-12	10	15.3	14.3	0.99	15.7	14.6	1.16
Milt Palacio	16	17	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-9	4	14.3	14.4	-0.10	15.7	14.5	1.22
Bryant Reeves	52	52	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	-9	4	15.1	13.7	1.40	14.0	15.4	-1.43
Dennis Scott	57	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-9	4	13.8	15.2	-1.34	14.9	14.5	0.38
Felipe Lopez	35	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	-6	-2	15.5	13.8	1.78	16.2	13.8	2.47
Doug West	20	20	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-7	0	14.5	14.4	0.20	14.8	14.7	0.19
Othella Harrington	62	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	-5	-4	14.9	13.6	1.23	14.4	15.2	-0.74
Michael Dickerson	82	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-6	-2	14.0	16.1	-2.01	14.4	15.7	-1.29
Mike Bibby	83	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.12	-9	-5	-4	14.4	14.3	0.10	14.5	15.7	-1.22
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	77	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.04	-12	-2	-10	13.7	16.9	-3.23	14.6	15.1	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 100, ATL 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
CLE 118, CHA 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
ORL 100, MIA 86	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%