NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	79		Excitement	1.8 [1256]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +17.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	113		Comeback	1.1 [1160]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): -12.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	10	85%	0.07	4	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
Ervin Johnson	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mirsad Turkcan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	29%	-0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.18	0.01	-0.12	14	26%	-0.03	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Ray Allen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	13	42%	-0.05	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	0.00	-0.03	12	35%	-0.08	5	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.25	0.00	0.08	19	82%	0.17	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	64%	0.03	1	-0.00	6	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	2	50%	0.03	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	9	37%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.01	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.10	0.00	0.11	12	72%	0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.10	8	35%	-0.01	2	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.6	34.3	15.4	24.4	1.4	26.5	127.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +34.1%

POR +2.5%

POR +5.3%

POR +6.5%

POR +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	POR	NBA	MIL	POR	NBA
this game	14.8	16.8	15.2	87.8	122.8	101.7
season	14.9	15.9		105.5	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.4		99.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.0	15.7	11.2	16.5	14.8
POR	15.3	13.7	19.3	19.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Traylor	28	29	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.11	-4	-30	26	14.9	14.8	0.13	18.6	16.0	2.62
Mirsad Turkcan	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	-30	26	15.8	14.6	1.13	18.6	16.5	2.08
Danny Manning	14	14	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-30	26	15.9	14.6	1.25	12.4	17.6	-5.19
Rafer Alston	34	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.19	-11	-23	12	16.4	13.8	2.59	16.2	17.2	-0.98
Scott Williams	31	31	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.17	-11	-23	12	17.4	13.4	3.95	14.4	18.1	-3.68
Tim Thomas	54	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.36	-19	-15	-4	15.3	14.1	1.24	16.8	16.9	-0.15
Darvin Ham	45	45	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-21	8	13.8	15.8	-1.91	18.8	14.9	3.91
Ervin Johnson	39	41	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.24	-19	-15	-4	14.2	15.3	-1.10	17.2	16.5	0.62
Sam Cassell	63	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.35	-26	-8	-18	13.8	17.1	-3.25	16.3	18.0	-1.69
Ray Allen	68	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.39	-28	-6	-22	14.2	16.8	-2.61	17.0	16.2	0.81
Glenn Robinson	61	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.45	-31	-3	-28	14.5	15.5	-1.01	16.8	16.8	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	63	61	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.38	28	6	22	17.0	16.5	0.50	13.9	16.6	-2.69
Steven Smith	57	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.47	28	6	22	17.3	16.0	1.33	13.8	16.5	-2.76
Damon Stoudamire	58	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.29	22	12	10	16.9	16.6	0.33	13.8	16.7	-2.88
Scottie Pippen	21	22	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.16	15	19	-4	16.4	17.0	-0.58	15.9	14.4	1.47
Jermaine O'Neal	44	42	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.29	19	15	4	18.5	15.3	3.25	14.4	15.2	-0.79
Detlef Schrempf	53	52	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.20	15	19	-4	15.2	19.1	-3.95	14.7	15.0	-0.35
Stacey Augmon	53	50	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	27	-20	17.2	16.4	0.77	14.2	15.5	-1.35
Bonzi Wells	42	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.19	12	22	-10	15.7	17.7	-2.00	15.9	13.9	2.02
Greg Anthony	27	26	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.29	15	19	-4	15.1	17.5	-2.43	17.4	13.7	3.63
Brian Grant	21	22	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.16	7	27	-20	15.3	17.3	-2.00	18.0	13.8	4.18
Antonio Harvey	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	37	-40	22.4	16.4	6.06	13.5	14.9	-1.39
Gary Grant	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	29	-24	20.1	16.2	3.83	16.8	14.5	2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 79, UTA 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.81,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
LAL 84, ORL 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
MIA 54, TOR 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%