NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	86		Excitement	2.1 [1231]		MVP	Moochie Norris (HOU): +4.8%
Houston Rockets	121		Comeback	1.3 [1137]		LVP	Donyell Marshall (GSW): -8.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.11	-0.00	0.11	9	78%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	6	85%	0.03	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Mark Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Farmer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.09	4	33%	-0.01	3	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Bill Curley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Jacobson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	8	24%	-0.01	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Adonal Foyle	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Vonteego Cummings	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	12	48%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	26	39%	-0.05	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.08	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	12	27%	-0.08	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.02	-0.06	5	50%	0.05	1	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Walt Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	18	53%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	68%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Carlos Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	0.00	0.09	5	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	64%	0.00	2	-0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	11	67%	0.02	3	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
Anthony Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.07	9	73%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.16	-0.00	-0.09	7	28%	-0.05	4	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	30.4	16.5	29.3	1.5	25.2	128.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +32.3%

HOU +7.9%

HOU +6.8%

HOU +5.5%

GSW -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	HOU	NBA	GSW	HOU	NBA
this game	14.1	13.6	15.2	82.7	116.3	101.7
season	14.7	15.4		97.2	102.4
opponent	14.6	14.7		103.5	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.9	15.3	13.8	12.6	14.1
HOU	11.3	16.0	12.9	14.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Young	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-37	39	9.0	14.5	-5.46	17.1	13.3	3.80
Mookie Blaylock	41	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	-30	25	14.6	13.8	0.81	12.4	14.4	-1.98
Adonal Foyle	45	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-30	25	14.7	13.6	1.08	12.3	14.6	-2.32
Sam Jacobson	37	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.35	-17	-18	1	12.8	14.8	-2.00	15.2	12.7	2.53
Bill Curley	32	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.39	-20	-15	-5	14.0	14.2	-0.18	13.5	13.6	-0.14
Tony Farmer	57	56	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.30	-17	-18	1	13.9	14.3	-0.45	14.5	12.6	1.92
Mark Davis	49	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	-26	17	13.0	15.0	-2.00	14.0	13.2	0.87
Jason Caffey	47	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.35	-21	-14	-7	14.9	13.4	1.49	13.0	14.1	-1.13
Donyell Marshall	67	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.22	-21	-14	-7	14.5	13.4	1.16	13.2	14.3	-1.10
Vonteego Cummings	47	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.52	-32	-3	-29	14.6	13.7	0.91	13.8	13.4	0.34
Larry Hughes	91	91	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.38	-30	-5	-25	14.2	13.1	1.16	13.6	13.5	0.15

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	76	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.28	23	12	11	13.1	15.1	-2.02	14.4	13.3	1.07
Shandon Anderson	69	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.25	22	13	9	12.8	15.2	-2.42	14.4	13.6	0.83
Walt Williams	83	83	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.36	25	10	15	12.7	17.0	-4.21	14.1	13.9	0.24
Kelvin Cato	68	67	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.25	18	17	1	12.4	15.9	-3.55	14.1	14.1	-0.02
Kenny Thomas	68	67	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.25	18	17	1	12.4	15.9	-3.55	14.1	14.1	-0.02
Cuttino Mobley	43	43	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.30	18	17	1	15.9	12.0	3.90	14.2	14.0	0.15
Matt Bullard	31	32	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.34	19	16	3	16.2	12.5	3.65	14.6	13.9	0.76
Anthony Miller	30	32	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.28	15	20	-5	15.7	12.7	2.96	13.5	14.3	-0.82
Moochie Norris	28	30	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.25	12	23	-11	15.1	13.1	2.02	13.3	14.4	-1.07
Carlos Rogers	6	5	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	33	-31	17.0	13.4	3.61	17.8	13.9	3.89
Bryce Drew	18	19	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.08	3	32	-29	15.4	13.2	2.17	11.8	14.6	-2.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 101, CLE 120	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.1%
ORL 103, BOS 118	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
ATL 76, ORL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%