NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	98		Excitement	8.5 [171]		MVP	John Stockton (UTA): +14.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	95		Comeback	6.3 [192]		LVP	Brent Barry (SEA): -19.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Stockton	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.04	0.10	-0.01	9	65%	0.19	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.03
Greg Ostertag	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	4	78%	0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.16,-0.2,-0.27,-0.09,0.07	-0.03	0.10	0.01	13	58%	0.16	3	-0.09	10	90%	0.11
Jeff Hornacek	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05	0.01	0.07	0.03	12	54%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Olden Polynice	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.05	-0.00	7	31%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Quincy Lewis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.06,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	16	46%	-0.01	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.04
Howard Eisley	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	11	23%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.08	0.01	5	60%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	15	53%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	10	76%	0.16	6	-0.17	13	69%	-0.09
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.08	0.01	17	70%	0.23	6	-0.28	6	67%	-0.04
Brent Barry	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	6	56%	0.04	5	-0.23	4	100%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	61.4	2.6	30.1	15.7	29.2	1.8	38.2	179.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA -24.2%

UTA +13.2%

UTA +15.8%

UTA +43.7%

UTA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SEA	NBA	UTA	SEA	NBA
this game	16.4	14.6	15.2	105.4	102.2	101.7
season	16.3	14.9		104.5	103.5
opponent	15.4	15.2		102.6	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.9	18.8	15.6	16.5	16.4
SEA	15.7	14.6	13.2	14.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Stockton	72	72	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-8	19	14.9	21.5	-6.57	14.9	13.5	1.37
Karl Malone	75	75	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.36	6	-3	9	15.1	21.8	-6.68	14.8	13.8	0.93
Greg Ostertag	47	48	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.42	4	-1	5	17.7	15.1	2.57	13.6	15.6	-2.02
Bryon Russell	83	84	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	-1	5	16.2	17.8	-1.58	14.7	13.3	1.38
Jeff Hornacek	58	57	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.45	-2	5	-7	16.0	17.0	-0.98	14.8	14.2	0.54
Howard Eisley	42	40	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.09	5	-2	7	16.9	15.9	0.99	14.2	14.9	-0.71
Armen Gilliam	18	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	6	-9	21.8	15.1	6.68	13.8	14.8	-0.93
Quincy Lewis	9	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	8	-13	17.3	16.3	1.05	12.6	14.8	-2.24
Jacque Vaughn	17	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	7	-11	21.2	15.3	5.93	13.9	14.7	-0.79
Olden Polynice	44	44	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.12	-1	4	-5	15.7	17.0	-1.34	15.7	13.6	2.05

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	63	62	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.11	9	-12	21	14.1	15.6	-1.46	16.9	15.3	1.65
Greg Foster	25	24	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-3	3	13.1	15.1	-2.00	19.5	15.3	4.20
Shammond Williams	20	22	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.24	2	-5	7	13.3	14.9	-1.57	18.9	15.6	3.30
Vin Baker	82	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-6	9	14.8	12.7	2.10	16.6	15.0	1.57
Gary Payton	79	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.30	-4	1	-5	14.9	13.0	1.86	15.4	22.2	-6.86
Brent Barry	72	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.38	-7	4	-11	15.2	12.6	2.53	15.4	19.3	-3.88
Vernon Maxwell	49	52	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.44	-5	2	-7	14.1	15.1	-0.97	17.0	15.7	1.30
Horace Grant	75	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	10	-23	15.0	12.9	2.03	15.6	19.6	-4.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.74,0.62,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.33,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 94, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.56,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.72,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.47,0.21,0.23,0.27,0	91.3%
SAC 105, ORL 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.74,0.46,0.42,0.62,0.54,0.22,0.04,0	91.1%
DEN 94, MEM 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.09,0	91.1%