NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	90		Excitement	5.8 [643]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +5.5%
Orlando Magic	103		Comeback	1.1 [1129]		LVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): -13.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dion Glover	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	12	58%	0.05	1	-0.01	7	43%	-0.04
Chris Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	14	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.01	12	64%	0.06	3	-0.10	4	50%	0.01
Bimbo Coles	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	8	39%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Terry	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	11	55%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	0	0%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Roshown McLeod	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	14%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	11	27%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Alan Henderson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	8	21%	-0.12	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.02	0.05	15	71%	0.12	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	10	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	13	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
John Amaechi	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	13	57%	0.07	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	58%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.05	7	14%	-0.05	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	6	44%	-0.04	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	29.8	14.8	24.7	1.8	33.8	132.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +25.2%

ORL +4.8%

ORL +14.0%

ORL +6.6%

ATL -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	14.9	13.0	15.2	86.5	100.0	101.7
season	15.4	13.6		99.3	100.4
opponent	15.4	15.2		99.3	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.2	13.0	16.5	16.0	14.9
ORL	11.5	15.3	12.8	12.3	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cal Bowdler	32	32	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.14	11	-24	35	13.6	15.4	-1.84	13.9	12.5	1.39
Dion Glover	57	56	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.11	6	-19	25	14.2	15.6	-1.37	14.0	11.7	2.22
Bimbo Coles	51	51	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-18	23	13.8	15.9	-2.04	13.5	12.4	1.07
Chris Crawford	67	66	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-16	19	14.8	15.0	-0.21	13.5	12.0	1.48
LaPhonso Ellis	28	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-8	3	15.1	14.8	0.28	13.3	12.8	0.46
Lorenzen Wright	74	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-9	5	14.1	16.8	-2.67	12.7	13.6	-0.84
Dikembe Mutombo	30	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	-4	-5	16.8	14.1	2.67	13.6	12.7	0.84
Roshown McLeod	37	37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	3	-19	15.0	14.8	0.21	12.0	13.5	-1.48
Jason Terry	53	52	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.02	-18	5	-23	15.9	13.8	2.04	12.4	13.5	-1.07
Alan Henderson	44	43	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.02	-19	6	-25	15.7	14.3	1.38	12.0	13.6	-1.59
Jim Jackson	47	47	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.01	-19	6	-25	15.6	14.2	1.37	11.7	14.0	-2.22

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	68	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.02	17	-4	21	12.7	13.4	-0.68	15.3	14.1	1.24
Ron Mercer	61	60	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-2	17	12.5	13.5	-1.01	15.4	14.2	1.22
Darrell Armstrong	65	67	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.01	15	-2	17	12.2	14.3	-2.12	15.2	14.3	0.84
John Amaechi	61	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	1	11	12.8	13.2	-0.40	14.7	15.1	-0.38
Bo Outlaw	62	62	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	1	11	12.9	13.0	-0.08	15.1	14.5	0.57
Monty Williams	45	46	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.06	8	5	3	12.8	13.1	-0.35	15.0	14.8	0.24
Michael Doleac	42	41	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	12	-11	13.2	12.8	0.40	15.1	14.7	0.38
Chucky Atkins	38	37	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.13	-2	15	-17	14.3	12.2	2.12	14.3	15.2	-0.84
Pat Garrity	33	35	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.14	-4	17	-21	13.5	12.7	0.78	13.8	15.4	-1.65
Corey Maggette	32	32	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	18	-23	13.8	12.6	1.25	13.7	15.4	-1.75
Anthony Johnson	8	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	17	-21	13.7	12.9	0.87	14.4	14.9	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 90, WAS 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.78,0.91,0.93,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
DET 86, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.74,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
LAC 70, SAS 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%