NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	82		Excitement	3.4 [1096]		MVP	Terrell Brandon (MIN): +22.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	109		Comeback	1.1 [1108]		LVP	Ray Allen (MIL): -13.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.00	0.02	-0.06	6	67%	0.09	2	-0.00	6	67%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	5	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Danny Manning	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	37%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	4	0%	-0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	16	51%	-0.02	3	-0.03	7	86%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	16	52%	0.03	5	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	-0.01	16	28%	-0.13	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrell Brandon	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.22	0.10	0.10	13	93%	0.24	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.21	-0.01	0.11	15	90%	0.12	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.02	12	61%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	56%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	4	10%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	10	27%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	27.3	15.5	22.4	2.3	23.3	117.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +49.1%

MIL -10.2%

MIN +6.5%

MIN +5.1%

MIL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	MIN	NBA	MIL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.3	14.9	15.2	84.5	116.0	101.7
season	14.9	15.1		105.5	103.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		101.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.2	12.4	17.9	16.0	15.3
MIN	13.5	15.3	14.0	16.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	41	42	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.31	13	-40	53	14.8	15.7	-0.88	16.0	14.0	2.01
Robert Traylor	18	19	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-33	39	15.0	15.4	-0.35	16.8	14.4	2.48
Rafer Alston	56	53	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-31	35	14.0	17.0	-3.05	15.2	14.4	0.88
Tim Thomas	65	63	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.25	-11	-16	5	15.0	15.8	-0.74	14.8	15.0	-0.25
Darvin Ham	44	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.17	-9	-18	9	15.1	15.4	-0.28	14.6	15.1	-0.43
Sam Cassell	51	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.39	-26	-1	-25	16.6	13.8	2.78	15.1	14.6	0.42
Ervin Johnson	43	41	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.24	-22	-5	-17	15.8	14.9	0.86	14.7	15.0	-0.23
Scott Williams	32	30	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.05	-18	-9	-9	15.2	15.3	-0.06	14.2	15.2	-0.97
Glenn Robinson	61	59	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.55	-36	9	-45	15.6	14.7	0.90	14.2	15.9	-1.72
Ray Allen	74	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.43	-36	9	-45	15.5	14.7	0.78	14.3	16.4	-2.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terrell Brandon	71	75	0.63	-0.13	0.77	-0.54	40	-13	53	14.5	16.0	-1.56	15.6	14.4	1.20
Wally Szczerbiak	78	81	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.37	31	-4	35	14.2	17.9	-3.63	15.1	16.0	-0.85
Kevin Garnett	65	67	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.55	37	-10	47	13.8	17.2	-3.34	15.0	15.9	-0.89
Malik Sealy	58	62	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.58	33	-6	39	15.0	14.7	0.27	15.6	14.7	0.90
Rasho Nesterovic	35	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	13	1	14.9	14.9	-0.01	16.4	14.7	1.71
Dean Garrett	12	13	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	21	-15	15.7	14.7	0.92	16.2	15.2	1.00
Anthony Peeler	37	38	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.25	-6	33	-39	15.3	14.6	0.72	15.4	15.2	0.22
Tom Hammonds	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	35	-43	16.7	14.3	2.44	16.0	15.1	0.92
Sam Mitchell	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	29	-31	17.3	14.6	2.73	16.4	15.2	1.18
William Avery	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	29	-31	15.5	14.8	0.68	10.8	15.5	-4.73
Bobby Jackson	25	24	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.26	-9	36	-45	15.0	14.8	0.24	13.2	16.0	-2.82
Joe Smith	52	54	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.08	1	26	-25	15.6	13.9	1.69	15.0	15.7	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 88, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
IND 83, MIA 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
BOS 75, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%